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  5. > Germany Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

Germany Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016

  • October 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:
Domestic oil and gas production will continue to decline as weak oil prices hold back investment. Softer margins in H216 will see the refining sector struggle to improve on a strong 2015. Fuels consumption in Europe's largest market remains flat and will trend downwards.
The latest updates and key forecasts in Germany's oil and gas sector are:

- The number of drilling rigs in use has averaged 4 as of August 2016, according to Baker Hughes.

- Crude, condensate and NGL production for 2016 is expected to remain on par with 2015 levels, benefiting from enhanced recovery techniques rather than new fields coming online.

- Gas production fell 6.5% y-o-y in 2015, from 9.2bn cubic metres (bcm) to 8.6bcm, we forecast further declines this year taking production to 7.9bcm.

- European refining margins have tightened in 2016 after a strong performance in 2015, as bulging inventories and soft demand weigh on refiners' profitability.

Table Of Contents

Germany Oil and Gas Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Germany 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Upstream Exploration 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Upstream Production - Oil 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 12
Table: Oil Production (Germany 2014-2019) 13
Table: Oil Production (Germany 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Production - Gas 14
Latest Updates 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Gas Production (Germany 2014-2019) 16
Table: Gas Production (Germany 2020-2025) 16
Refining 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Germany 2014-2019) 20
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Germany 2020-2025) 20
Refined Fuels Consumption 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Germany 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Germany 2020-2025) 24
Gas Consumption 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Gas Consumption (Germany 2014-2019) 27
Table: Gas Consumption (Germany 2020-2025) 27
Trade - Oil 28
Latest Updates 28
Crude Oil: Structural Trends 28
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Germany 2014-2020) 29
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 30
Refined Fuels: Structural Trends 30
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Germany 2014-2019) 31
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 32
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Germany 2014-2019) 34
Table: Gas Net Exports (Germany 2020-2025) 34
Industry Risk/Reward Index 35
Germany - Risk/Reward Index 35
Germany Upstream Index 35
Germany Downstream Index 35
North America And Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: North America and Western Europe Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 36
Upstream Rankings: Resource Base Will Keep North America Well Ahead 37
Resource Limitations Take Toll On Western Europe 38
Table: North America and Western Europe Upstream Risk/Reward Index 40
Downstream Rankings: US Widens Its Lead 40
Table: North America and Western Europe Downstream Risk/Reward Index 42
Market Overview 43
Germany Energy Market Overview 43
Political Regime 43
Fiscal Regime 43
Table: Germany Corporate Income Tax 44
Table: Federal State Royalty Rates 44
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 44
Oil Refineries 44
Table: Germany Refineries 44
Service Stations 45
Oil Pipelines 46
Table: Major Oil Pipelines 46
Gas Pipelines 46
Table: Major Gas Pipelines 46
Gas Storage 47
Table: Germany Natural Gas Storage Facilities 47
Competitive Landscape 50
Competitive Landscape Summary 50
Table: Major Upstream Operators - Market Share By Production, 2015 50
Table: Major Downstream Operators 50
Regional Overview 52
North America And Western Europe Oil And Gas Regional Overview 52
Table: North America - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 61
Table: Western Europe - Key Regional Indicators, 2015-2025 63
Glossary 65
Table: Glossary Of Terms 65
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Source 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 71
Table: Weighting 72

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