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  5. > Turkey Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Turkey Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We favour the sugar sector in Turkey because of the strong growth potential of the country'sconfectionery industry and our belief that large changes to the country's sugar production quotas are likelyto occur in the coming years. We continue to see resilient growth in the livestock sector on the back ofcontinued government support. Grains and rice production will recover in the 2015/16 season following thedrought in 2014.

Key Forecasts

? Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 0.0% to 19.00mn tonnes. We expect the country toremain an importer of wheat up to 2017, despite reasonably strong domestic production growth followingthe drought-hit harvest of 2014/15.
? Sugar consumption growth 2014 to 2019: 1.9% to 2.4mn tonnes. This growth outlook will improve onthe effective implementation of sugar reforms and efficiency gains.
? 2016 real GDP growth: 3.5%, up from 2.8% in 2015.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Sugar Outlook 11
Table: Turkey - Sugar Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 12
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 15
Rice Outlook 15
Table: Turkey - Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Risks To Outlook 16
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 18
Grains Outlook 19
Table: Turkey - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 22
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 22
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 22
Livestock Outlook 23
Table: Turkey - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 26
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Turkey 2011-2019) 27
Commodities Price Analysis 28
Global Commodities Strategy 28
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 28
Upstream Analysis 30
Europe GM Outlook 30
Europe Machinery Outlook 36
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 39
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 42
Downstream Analysis 49
Food 49
Food Consumption 49
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkey 2012-2019) 50
Confectionery 50
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkey 2012-2019) 51
Canned Food 52
Processed Foods 52
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkey 2014-2019) 53
Fish 53
Snack Foods 54
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Turkey 2014-2019) 54
Dairy 54
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Turkey 2014-2019) 55
Regional Overview 56
Competitive Landscape 62
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 62
Demographic Forecast 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69

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