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Iran Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

We maintain our construction industry growth forecast for Iran at 3.2% real growth in 2016 aswe expect international sanctions to be lifted from H116. This will result in the gradual return of privateinvestment in the country, which will considerably benefit the infrastructure sector. Although we anticipateinvestment opportunities across all sectors, railway projects will attract considerable investment.



Latest Updates And Structural trends

- We forecast 3.2% y-o-y real construction industry growth in Iran in 2016 and an average of 4% over thenext five years as a result of the lifting of international sanctions.

- Persistently low oil prices - our Oil & Gas Team forecasts Brent to average USD54.0/bbl in 2016 - willreduce government revenue, limiting public spending in infrastructure.

- Greater competitiveness in Iran's labour market will be required to support growth in the constructionindustry. Although Iran's labour force is highly educated by regional standards, high labour costs willcontinue to pose a structural barrier to investment.

- Despite an improving outlook for Iran's infrastructure sector, the country will continue to presentsignificant challenges, including elevated political risk, macroeconomic weaknesses, social tensions and alack of transparency.

Table Of Contents

Iran Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Iran 2014-2020) . 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Iran) . 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT .. 7
Industry Forecast 9
Iran - Growth Rebound To Follow Sanctions Removal .. 9
Growth Rebound To Follow Sanctions Removal . 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Iran 2014-2024) . 10
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview . 16
Table: Key Transport Infrastructure Projects 22
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview ... 23
Table: Key Projects: Energy and Utilities 27
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 28
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 31
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 32
Iran - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index ... 32
Rewards .. 32
Risks .. 33
Middle East- MENA Infrastructure RRI: Old Risks, New Rewards 34
Table: MENA RRI Table 38
Market Overview ... 39
Competitive Landscape . 39
Table: Iran EQS Data . 40
Company Profile 41
Iran Power Plant Projects Management Co. (Mapna) . 41
Methodology .. 44
Industry Forecast Methodology 44
Sector-Specific Methodology 45
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ... 49
Sector-Specific Methodology 50
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 51

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