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China Commercial Banking Report Q4 2015

  • September 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts.

Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment. Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market.

The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

China Commercial Banking Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, August 2013 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking 9
Political 10
Economy 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Market Strategy 14
Table: BMI Global Asset Class Strategy 20
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 22
Table: Asia Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index 23
Market Overview 24
Asia Commercial Banking Outlook 24
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 24
Table: Comparison of Loan/Deposit and Loan/Asset and Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 24
Table: Comparison of Total Assets and Client Loans and Client Deposits (USDbn) 25
Table: Comparison of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 26
Economic Analysis 27
Competitive Landscape 31
Market Structure 31
Protagonists 31
Table: Protagonists In China's Commercial Banking Sector 31
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe 32
List Of Banks 32
Table: Policy Banks And The 'Big Four' State-Owned Commercial Banks 32
Table: Joint-Stock Commercial Banks, City Commercial Banks And Rural Commercial Banks 32
Table: Locally Registered Foreign Banks 33
Company Profile 34
Agricultural Development Bank of China 34
Table: Stock Market Indicators 36
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 36
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 36
Table: Key Ratios (%) 37
Bank of China 38
Table: Stock Market Indicators 40
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 40
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 41
Table: Key Ratios (%) 41
China Construction Bank 42
Table: Stock Market Indicators 44
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 44
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) 45
China Merchants Bank 46
Table: Stock Market Indicators 47
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 48
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 48
Table: Key Ratios (%) 48
Industrial and Commercial Bank of China 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators 51
Table: Balance Sheet (CNYmn) 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) 52
Regional Overview 53
Asia Overview 53
Global Industry Overview 57
Global Commercial Banking Outlook 57
Demographic Forecast 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 66
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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