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Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q4 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 130 pages

We forecast Slovak real GDP to expand by 3.0% and 3.3% in 2015 and 2016 respectively, with domesticdemand being the engine of growth. Slovakia's consumer price index (CPI) was in contraction for much of2014 and falling oil prices mean that inflation will stay lower for longer into 2015.In contrast to some developed eurozone states, where falling prices and economic stagnation imply thatdeflation expectations could become entrenched and act as a major drag on growth potential, we see fewrisks of this pattern emerging in Slovakia. Instead, disinflation has supported consumption by contributingto rapidly rising real wages since mid-2013, a trend that has further to run in 2015. Rising real wage growthhas coincided with accelerating consumer credit growth, rising consumer confidence and graduallyimproving labour market dynamics, which all bode well for discretionary spending in the food and drinksector.

Table Of Contents

Slovakia Food and Drink Report Q4 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Food 10
Drink 12
Mass Grocery Retail 14
Industry Forecast 16
Consumer Outlook 16
Food 17
Food Consumption 17
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 19
Confectionery 19
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 21
Meat 21
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Slovakia 2012-2019) 22
Pasta 22
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 23
Other Processed Foods 23
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Slovakia 2012-2019) 24
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 25
Dairy 25
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 26
Drink 27
Alcoholic Drinks 27
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 29
Soft Drinks 29
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 31
Hot Drinks 32
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 33
Mass Grocery Retail 33
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 35
Trade 36
Table: Trade Balance - Historical Data and Forecasts (Slovakia 2012-2019) 37
Macroeconomic Forecast 38
Economic Analysis 38
Table: Slovakia - Private Consumption Forecasts 43
Table: Slovakia - Public Consumption Forecasts 43
Table: Slovakia - Fixed Investment Forecast 44
Table: Slovakia - Net Export Forecasts 44
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q415 46
Slovakia - Risk/Reward Index 50
Market Overview 51
Food 51
Food Consumption 51
Food Production 51
Confectionery 53
Canned Food 53
Trade 53
Agriculture 53
Drink 54
Alcoholic Drinks 54
Soft Drinks 57
Hot Drinks 58
Mass Grocery Retail 59
Table: Private Label Purchases In Slovakia, By Retail Outlet 60
Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number of Outlets (Slovakia 2006-2010) 63
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Slovakia 2006-2013) 63
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Slovakia 2006-2013) 63
Table: Average Value Per Outlet, 2013 64
Industry Trends And Developments 65
Food 65
Key Industry Trends And Developments 65
Drink 69
Key Industry Trends And Developments 69
Mass Grocery Retail 71
Key Industry Trends And Developments 71
Competitive Landscape 76
Table: Key Players In Slovakia's Food Sector 76
Table: Key Players In Slovakia's Drink Sector 77
Table: Key Players In Slovakia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector* 78
Company Profile 80
COOP Jednota Slovensko sd 80
Heineken Slovensko AS 82
Kraft Foods Slovakia 84
Metro Cash and Carry Slovakia 86
Nestle Slovensko 88
SABMiller Slovakia 90
Schwarz Group 92
Staropramen Slovakia 94
Tauris AS 96
Tesco Stores SR 98
Global Industry Overview 101
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 104
Table: Boston Beer Company, Ab Inbev, Heineken And Sabmiller - Selected Trailing Return And Efficiency Ratios 112
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q215 Roundup 117
Demographic Forecast 119
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Slovakia 1990-2025) 120
Table: Key Population Ratios (Slovakia 1990-2025) 120
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Slovakia 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group (Slovakia 1990-2025) 121
Table: Population By Age Group % (Slovakia 1990-2025) 122
Glossary 124
Food and Drink 124
Mass Grocery Retail 124
Methodology 126
Industry Forecast Methodology 126
Sector-Specific Methodology 127
Sources 127
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 128
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 129
Table: Weighting 130

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