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Philippines Retail Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Owing to favourable economic conditions, the Philippines has successfully managed to elevatea large number of its population out of poverty and also increase overall disposable household incomes,particularly in urban areas. These economic improvements, as well as a relatively young population, areaffected by the developments we now see in the Philippines retail market. Nevertheless, the country's ruralareas have experienced much slower growth, with traditional retail formats prevailing. Pavement vendorsand open-air markets will continue to play a crucial role in the rural retail landscape and we foresee lessdramatic changes in this area over our forecast period.We retain our positive outlook for the Philippine economy, with real GDP growth forecasted at 6.0% inboth 2015 and 2016, resulting in an increased employment and disposable incomes.

However, a large partof the country's population remains employed in low-wage jobs in the agricultural and industrial sectors andwill continue to be reliant on remittance inflows from Filipinos working overseas. We expect this to risefurther over the coming quarters as more Filipinos move away and seek better job opportunities abroad.These trends will bode well for the retail sector. Not only will poverty in the country decline further overour five-year forecast period, but affluence levels will also increase, resulting in higher spending on theretail sector and strong growth in non-grocery and non-essential segments over the medium term.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Philippines 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of GDP (Philippines 2012-2019) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 18
Retail Sector Forecast 20
Food, Drink and Tobacco 21
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 22
Clothing and Footwear 22
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 23
Household Goods 23
Table: Household Goods Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 24
Personal Care 25
Table: Personal Care Spending (Philippines 2012-2019) 25
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 26
Table: Household Income Data (Philippines 2012-2019) 26
Demographic Forecast 30
Table: Total Population (Philippines 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Babies (Philippines 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Young Children (Philippines 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Children (Philippines 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Young Teens And Older Children (Philippines 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Young People (Philippines 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Philippines 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: 21yrs+ (Philippines 2012-2019) 34
Table: Population: Young Adults (Philippines 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Philippines 2012-2019) 35
Table: Population: Urban (Philippines 2012-2019) 35
Macroeconomic Forecasts 36
Economic Analysis 36
Table: Economic Activity (Philippines 2010-2019) 40
Industry Risk/Reward Index 41
Asia Risk/Reward Index 41
Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116 41
Philippines Risk/Reward Index 43
Rewards 43
Risks 44
Market Overview 46
Competitive Landscape 49
Department Store Groups 49
Mass Grocery Retail 50
Fashion 51
Consumer Electronics 51
Pharmacies 52
Glossary 53
Methodology 60
Industry Forecast Methodology 60
Sources 63
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 63
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 64
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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