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Turkey Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

BMI View: Factors which were outlined last quarter such as currency depreciation, tightening credit and political risk remain elevated and over H215 security risks have also emerged - as such we have downgraded our 2016 and 2017 real growth forecasts for the Turkish construction sector. The government will remain committed to infrastructure and the residential sector, but in the face of poor economic sentiment, the non-residential sector will be hardest hit over 2016.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-We have downgraded our construction industry value real growth forecasts for 2016 and 2017, now 3.2 and 4.3% y-o-y respectively.

-On the back of a strong project pipeline, we maintain a healthy transport infrastructure industry real growth outlook. Energy and utilities infrastructure growth has been lowered for 2016 on the back of the breakdown in relations between Moscow and Ankara and its impact on Turkey's nuclear and pipeline projects.

-Driven by the contracts awarded under the government's USD500bn regeneration programme and continued strong building in Istanbul, the residential sector will perform well. We forecast real annual average growth of 3% over our 10-year forecast period, with the non-residential sector dragging down that figure.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Turkey 2014-2020) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Turkey 2015-2015) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Turkey - Risks Align: Slower Construction Growth in 2016 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkey 2014-2024) 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 17
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Turkey 2014-2024) 17
Table: Major Transport Projects 25
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 27
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Turkey 2014-2024) 27
Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 33
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 33
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 35
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Turkey 2014-2024) 35
Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure 39
Table: Key Projects Residential/Non-Residential 39
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 41
Turkey - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 41
Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 45
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: Turkey - Major Domestic Construction Players 54
Company Profile 56
Enka Insaat 56
Table: Enka Results, USDmn 58
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sector-Specific Methodology 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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