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Brazil Autos Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 42 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We forecast a 2.1% expansion in vehicle sales in Brazil in 2017, marking a recovery after four years of sales declines. Political stability after President Dilma Rousseff's impeachment has improved consumer sentiment which will help build sales momentum.

Key Views


- Consumer and business deleveraging of auto loans will continue to limit sales on credit as company bankruptcies, high unemployment and high interest rates persist.

- Heavy trucks remain one of the worst performing segments, given Lava Jato's effects on heavy industry and truck demand and further falls in investment sentiment.

- Exports will grow strongly from 2017 onwards as Argentina's economic recovery gathers steam and Brazilian manufacturers ramp up exports to non-traditional trade partners.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Autos Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Key Views 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Industry Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Vehicles 20
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 20
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 20
Key Players 20
Table: Passenger Car Sales By Brand, Units 20
Commercial Vehicles 22
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 22
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 22
Key Players 23
Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Brand, Units 23
Table: Heavy Truck Sales By Brand, Units 24
Table: Bus and Coach Sales By Brand, Units 25
Motorcycles 26
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2020) 26
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 26
Key Players 26
Table: Motorcycle Sales By Brand, Units 26
Industry Risk/Reward Index 28
Risks Outweigh Rewards In Central America 28
US Election Brings Risks To NAFTA Stability 29
Brazil And Argentina Are 'Best Of The Rest' 29
Regional Overview 30
Latin America Overview 30
Table: Latin America Autos Production Investment 30
Bullish On Argentina Again 32
Mexico Still Aimed At US But New Export Focus Emerging 33
Mexico's Increasingly Sophisticated Supply Chain 33
Demographic Forecast 34
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 35
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 35
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 36
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 36
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 37
Methodology 39
Industry Forecasts 39
Sector-Specific Methodology 40
Sources 40
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 41
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 42

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