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Argentina Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

BMI View

: Private investment in Argentina's infrastructure will increase if - as we expect - a more centristgovernment is elected in the upcoming presidential elections, creating a more favourable investmentenvironment. Argentina's well educated labour force will support construction industry growth from 2016onwards, although high minimum wages may weaken the profitability of projects.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Our Country Risk team expects Daniel Scioli of the ruling Frente para la Victoria (FpV) party to win thepresidency, albeit in a second round in November 2015, defeating his main rival, centre-right MauricioMacri.

- After a new government is inaugurated in 2016, we expect gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) willreturn to real expansion. Businesses will begin construction of fixed assets as expectations for morebusiness-friendly policies, such as tax incentives for investment, are implemented. Further, the end ofFernández's administration will improve perceptions about the Argentine government. Reducedrestrictions on imports and a weakened peso will reduce the cost for foreign businesses looking to expandin the country's infrastructure sector. In this context, we forecast construction industry growth to reach3.7% in real terms in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Argentina Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 5
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Argentina 2014-2020) 5
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Argentina 2015-2015) 6
SWOT 7
Infrastructure SWOT 7
Industry Forecast 9
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Argentina 2015-2025) 9
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 14
Table: Key Projects: Transport 18
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 19
Table: Energy and Utilities - Major Projects 25
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 26
Table: Key Projects: Construction and Social Infrastructure 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 30
Argentina - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 30
Rewards 30
Risks 31
Latin America - LatAm Infrastructure RRI: Ambitious Plans Will See Limited Realisation 32
Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Market Overview 38
Competitive Landscape 38
Table: Argentina EQS Data 38
Company Profile 41
Roggio 41
Techint 43
Table: Techint Group Consolidated Highlights (USDmn) 44
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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