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Kuwait Petrochemicals Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 66 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


>BMI View:
Kuwaiti petrochemicals margins are likely to be squeezed in the coming months due to slower Asian demand, lower product prices and naphtha prices rising by around 50% since February 2016. However, this should not affect capacity utilisation rates, and Kuwait is pressing ahead with expansion. Kuwait has formidable reserves and growing upstream production, which should sustain petrochemicals output. A diverse feedstock also enables a wider range of downstream products, putting Kuwait at a competitive advantage against ethane-dependent producers in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. On the downside, the government's domination of upstream and downstream sectors stifles the investment climate within the country and ultimately diminishes its export potential, as large investments are kept at bay and never fully realised.

- The Al-Zour project was set to raise downstream refinery capacity to 1.4mn barrels per day (b/d) by 2019, but it looks set to be delayed until 2020 as costs escalate and Kuwait continues in its effort to secure financing. In the meantime, refining capacity is set to decline as a result of consolidation within the refining sector, a move that could restrict naphtha supply to petrochemicals and could raise feedstock costs.

- Equate is investing in debottlenecking its 825,000 tonnes per annum (tpa) high density polyethylene (HDPE)/linear low density polyethylene (LLDPE) swing plant and a 550,000tpa ethylene glycol (MEG) unit as well as ethylene production. The completion of debottlenecking at Equate's polyethylene (PE) and MEG units should boost Kuwaiti petrochemicals production in 2016. This will be followed in 2017 by the completion of KPC's world-class petrochemicals project and the completion of the al-Zour refinery by 2020.

Table Of Contents

Kuwait Petrochemicals Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Table: Kuwait: Petrochemicals Projects 17
Table: Kuwait Petrochemicals, 2012-2020f 18
Macroeconomic Forecasts 19
Economic Growth Outlook 19
Table: Kuwait - Major PPP Projects By Value (USDMN) 20
Hydrocarbon Sector To Grow Again 21
Private Consumption Will Increase 21
Industry Risk/Reward Index 23
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 23
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2017 27
Kuwait Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 28
Market Overview 30
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Upstream 32
Refineries 33
Petrochemicals 33
Fertiliser 34
Company Profile 35
Equate Petrochemical Company 35
Kuwait Petroleum Corporation (KPC) 37
Regional Overview 41
Middle East And Africa Overview 41
Global Industry Overview 47
Demographic Forecast 56
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Kuwait 1990-2025) 57
Table: Key Population Ratios (Kuwait 1990-2025) 57
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Kuwait 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group (Kuwait 1990-2025) 58
Table: Population By Age Group % (Kuwait 1990-2025) 59
Glossary 61
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 61
Methodology 62
Industry Forecast Methodology 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 64
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 65
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 66

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