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Peru Petrochemicals Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 51 pages

Above-ground risks to the development of the natural gas sector are impeding progress on the development of Peru's downstream petrochemicals potential, which is considerable given the massive size of the country's upstream resources. Completion of any world-scale petrochemicals complex is unlikely before 2020 as the country needs to secure significant infrastructural development before investment can be guaranteed. If Peru realises its ambitions in the petrochemicals sector, it could rival Brazil as a major supplier to the South American polymers market. From an estimated production of 12.7bn cubic metres (bcm) in 2014, we forecast Peru's natural gas production to increase over the next decade owning to strong domestic demands. This relatively bullish forecast is based on our view that the sector will benefit from a strong reserves picture and recent investments into infrastructure.

Table Of Contents

Peru Petrochemicals Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Peru's Petrochemical Sector, 2012-2020 15
Macroeconomic Forecasts 16
Economic Analysis 16
Table: Peru - Private Consumption Forecasts 19
Table: Peru - Government Consumption Forecasts 19
Table: Peru - Fixed Investment Forecasts 20
Table: Peru - Net Exports Forecast 20
Industry Risk/Reward Index 21
Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 21
Worsening market risk in Latin America 21
Table: Americas Petrochemicals Risk/Rewards Ratings 24
Peru Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25
Market Overview 26
Table: Peru's Chemicals Plants 26
Industry Trends And Developments 28
Company Profile 31
Petroperú 31
Regional Overview 34
Americas Overview 34
Production Growth Concentrated in NAFTA 35
Table: Planned Cracker Projects 39
Global Industry Overview 40
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 40
Demographic Forecast 41
Demographic Outlook 41
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Peru 1990-2025) 42
Table: Key Population Ratios (Peru 1990-2025) 42
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Peru 1990-2025) 43
Table: Population By Age Group (Peru 1990-2025) 43
Table: Population By Age Group % (Peru 1990-2025) 44
Glossary 46
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 46
Methodology 47
Industry Forecast Methodology 47
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 50
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 51

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