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Indonesia Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 109 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Over the coming months, consumer headwinds - high interest rates, elevated inflation and currency weaknesses - will limit expansion of household purchasing power. Over the longer term, we hold a positive outlook for the Indonesian consumer, translating into rapid growth in the food and drink sector. Rising incomes, urbanisation and high levels of investment will fuel sales of packaged food and soft drinks. The food retail sector will also formalise at a rapid pace, although retailers' margins remain under threat from further hikes in the minimum wage.


Headline Industry Data
- Food consumption (local currency) forecast growth in 2015 = +9.2%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecast 2014 to 2019= +8.9%.
- Alcoholic drinks value sales growth (local currency) in 2015 = +10.5%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +10.8%.
- Soft drinks value sales growth (local currency) in 2015 = +11.2%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019= +10.0%.
- Mass grocery retail value sales growth in 2015 = +13.6%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +12.2%.

Table Of Contents

Indonesia Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink . 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Consumer Outlook .. 10
Food .. 12
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2019) . . 14
Canned Food . 14
Confectionery . 15
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2012-2019) . 16
Drink . 18
Structural Trends - Hot Drinks: . 18
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) . . 20
Structural Trends - Alcoholic Drinks . 21
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) . 22
Structural Trends - Soft Drinks .. 23
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Indonesia 2014-2019) . . 24
Mass Grocery Retail .. 27
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Indonesia 2014-2019) 30
Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format (%) . . 30
Macroeconomic Forecast 31
Economic Analysis .. 31
Industry Risk Reward Index 34
Asia Pacific - Risk/Reward Index . 34
Table: Asia Pacific Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 35
Indonesia - Risk/Reward Index . 39
Market Overview 41
Food .. 41
Food Production 41
Confectionery . 41
Halal 42
Agriculture . 43
Organics . 43
Drink . 44
Soft Drinks .. 44
Alcoholic Drinks 45
Hot Drinks .. 45
Mass Grocery Retail .. 46
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Indonesia 2006-2015) 47
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Indonesia 2006-2015) 48
Competitive Landscape . 49
Table: Key Players In Indonesia's Food Sector . . 49
Table: Key Players In Indonesia's Drink Sector . 49
Table: Key Players In Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector . 50
Company Profile . 51
Indofood Sukses Makmur Terbuka .. 51
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia 54
Nestle Indonesia .. 57
Mayora Indah .. 60
PT Unilever Indonesia 62
Coca-Cola Amatil 65
Aqua Golden Mississippi 68
Matahari Putra Prima 70
Hero Supermarket .. 73
Global Industry Overview .. 76
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast . 83
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry . . 92
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 93
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup . 96
Demographic Forecast .. 98
Demographic Outlook 98
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Indonesia 1990-2025) . 99
Table: Key Population Ratios (Indonesia 1990-2025) . 99
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Indonesia 1990-2025) . . 100
Table: Population By Age Group (Indonesia 1990-2025) 100
Table: Population By Age Group % (Indonesia 1990-2025) 101
Glossary 103
Food and Drink .. 103
Mass Grocery Retail .. 103
Methodology .. 105
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 105
Sector-Specific Methodology 106
Sources . 106
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 107
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators . . 108
Table: Weighting 109

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