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Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 71 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

There is a modest upside to the performance of the Hungarian petrochemicals sector in 2016 with theaddition of new butadiene capacity and supportive economic environment, although growth will moderate.The strength of the automotive sector should boost consumption levels in 2016 and beyond.Growth in rubber and plastic output was strong in the first five months of 2015 at 9.8%, compared to 1.7%decline in industry. While output has been on an upwards trend since mid-2014, in Q215 it showed signs ofa slowdown, in line with the performance of the overall economy.

Polyethylene (PE) output rose by 10% yo-y to 272,000 tonnes in H115 with growth largely concentrated in the first quarter with growth slackeningconsiderably in the following quarter. In contrast, polypropylene (PP) experienced a sustained surge with23.5% y-o-y growth to 268,000 tonnes in H115. Petrochemicals output should be supported by a newbutadiene capacity that is due to come onstream by end-2015.

Table Of Contents

Hungary Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Hungary's Petrochemical Industry, Historical Data and Forecast, 2012-2019 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 17
Economic Analysis 17
Table: Central Europe Underperformer 21
Table: Hungary GDP By Expenditure 25
Industry Risk Reward Index 26
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 29
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 30
Hungary Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 31
Market Overview 32
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Upstream 35
Downstream 36
Company Profile 38
BorsodChem 38
Magyar Olaj-es Gázipari (MOL) 41
Regional Overview 44
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 44
Delays and Mothballing in the East 46
Global Industry Overview 52
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 52
2016 Feedstock Outlook 54
Could US Gas Run out? 55
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 56
Long-term Outlook 56
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 60
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Hungary 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Hungary 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population And Life Expectancy (Hungary 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Hungary 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Hungary 1990-2025) 64
Glossary 66
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 66
Methodology 67
Industry Forecast Methodology 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 69
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 70
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 71

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