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Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 75 pages

Political risks could undermine the performance of Turkey's petrochemicals sector in 2016, following a yearof volatile growth in 2015. With chemicals output up 2.1% and rubber and plastic rising 0.7% in theJanuary-August period, some segments are facing capacity constraints while others are stalling due tomarket sector weaknesses.Turkish petrochemicals consumption has two main sources: products used in the construction industry andintermediate goods for export-oriented sectors such as the automotive industry. A transition to slower, morebalanced growth relative to the past decade will continue. Turkey's rapidly growing population willnecessitate continued high levels of housing development, which should drive demand for constructionrelatedplastic products. As an intermediate sector supplying industry, the Turkish petrochemicals industryis insufficient to cover all domestic demand, so imports will continue to track demand trends until majorexpansion comes on stream.

Table Of Contents

Turkey Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 14
Industry Forecast 16
Table: Turkey - Petrochemicals Capacity Historical Data And Forecasts, 2012-2019 ('000tpa) 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Table: Economic Activity (Turkey 2010-2019) 28
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 29
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 32
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 33
Turkey Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 34
Market Overview 36
Industry Trends And Developments 38
Petkim's Growth Plans 38
Polymers Investment 40
Company Profile 42
Petkim 42
Table: Petkim's Financial Results (TRYmn), 2011-2014 44
Turkish Petroleum Refineries Corporation 45
Table: Tüpras' Financial Results, 2011-2014 46
Regional Overview 48
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 48
Delays and Mothballing in the East 50
Global Industry Overview 56
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 56
2016 Feedstock Outlook 58
Could US Gas Run out? 59
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 60
Long-term Outlook 60
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 64
Demographic Forecast 65
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Turkey 1990-2025) 66
Table: Key Population Ratios (Turkey 1990-2025) 66
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Turkey 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group (Turkey 1990-2025) 67
Table: Population By Age Group % (Turkey 1990-2025) 68
Glossary 70
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 70
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 74
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 75

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