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  3. > Brazil Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

Brazil Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 145 pages

BMI View

: The impact of the weakening macroeconomic environment and low consumer confidence isbeginning to be felt by consumer goods businesses in the food and drink sector. Premium category productsin particular are seeing a slowdown in sales, as more consumers opt for discount brands. This is likely to bethe case over 2016 as well, as we see little scope for a rebound. The positive for the market will be an influxof high-spending tourists in August-September 2016 for the Rio Olympic Games.

A less favourable external environment (in light of an ongoing slowdown in Chinese growth), a poordomestic business environment and a lack of export competitiveness all pose significant headwinds togrowth. Although we previously argued that Brazil was in the early stages of an economic policy shift withthe appointment of an investor-friendly Finance Minister Joaquim Levy, we expect investor pessimism torise, on the back of the economic recession, high inflation, currency weaknesses and the potential for delayin fiscal reforms. We also believe that a moderation in input prices (grains) could help margins for thesecompanies to recover in coming months.

Table Of Contents

Brazil Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Food and Drink 9
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Food 14
Structural Trends 14
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019) 15
Processed Food 15
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 16
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019) 16
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Brazil 2014-2019) 17
Table: Frozen Fruit and Vegetables Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 17
Dairy 17
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 19
Confectionery 20
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2012-2019) 21
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 23
Drink 24
Hot Drinks 24
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 26
Latest Updates 26
Alcoholic Drinks 26
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 28
Soft Drinks 29
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Brazil 2014-2019) 31
Mass Grocery Retail 33
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Brazil 2014-2019) 35
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type (%) 35
Macroeconomic Forecast 36
Economic Analysis 36
Industry Risk/Reward Index 40
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index 40
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 42
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q116 (scores out of 10) 45
Brazil Risk/Reward Index 46
Market Overview 48
Food 48
Prepared Food/Canned Food 48
Confectionery 48
Dairy 50
Meat 50
Poultry 52
Seafood 53
Drink 53
Hot Drinks 53
Soft Drinks 53
Alcoholic Drinks 54
Mass Grocery Retail 56
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Brazil 2006-2015) 58
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Brazil 2006-2015) 59
Competitive Landscape 60
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Food Sector 60
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Drink Sector 60
Table: Key Players In Brazil's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 61
Company Profile 62
Brasil Foods 62
Brasil Kirin 65
Carrefour 67
Table: Carrefour's Main Financial Highlights 78
Companhia Brasileira de Distribuição 80
Embotelladora Andina 83
JBS 85
Table: JBS Financial Results 97
Walmart 98
Table: Walmart Financial Highlights 110
Global Industry Overview 111
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 118
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 128
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 129
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 132
Demographic Forecast 134
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Brazil 1990-2025) 135
Table: Key Population Ratios (Brazil 1990-2025) 135
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Brazil 1990-2025) 136
Table: Population By Age Group (Brazil 1990-2025) 136
Table: Population By Age Group % (Brazil 1990-2025) 137
Glossary 139
Food and Drink 139
Mass Grocery Retail 139
Methodology 141
Industry Forecast Methodology 141
Sector-Specific Methodology 142
Sources 142
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 143
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 144
Table: Weighting 145

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