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Colombia Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 100 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The impact of lower oil prices on Colombia's revenue will continue to affect our consumeroutlook over the coming quarters. Faltering consumer confidence and the uptick in unemployment willweigh on private consumption growth. Combined will elevated inflation, it will put households purchasingpower under strain and constrain food consumption (in real terms) and retail sales. Over the longer term,we still view Colombia as an attractive investment destination for food and drink companies and groceryretailers, due to market fragmentation by regional standards.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)
- Total food consumption compound annual growth rate (CAGR), 2014 to 2019: +9.4%.
- Alcoholic drinks value sales CAGR, 2014 to 2019: +6.4%.
- Soft drinks value sales CAGR, 2014 to 2019: +9.2%.
- Mass grocery retail sales CAGR, 2014 to 2019: +6.3%.

Table Of Contents

Colombia Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food 8
Industry Forecast 10
Consumer Outlook 10
Food 12
Food Consumption 12
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2012-2019) 14
Confectionery 14
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2012-2019) 15
Jams and Jellies 17
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Colombia 2014-2019) 17
Pasta 17
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) 17
Dairy 17
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) 18
Meat 19
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Colombia 2014-2019) 19
Fish 19
Drink 20
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) 21
Structural Trends - Alcoholic Drinks: 22
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) 24
Structural Trends - Soft Drinks: 25
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Colombia 2014-2019) 26
Mass Grocery Retail 28
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Colombia 2014-2019) 30
Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type 30
Macroeconomic Forecast 31
Economic Analysis 31
Table: Colombia - Key Economic Indicators 31
Table: Colombia - Private Consumption Forecasts 34
Table: Colombia - Government Consumption Forecasts 35
Table: Colombia - Fixed Investment Forecasts 36
Table: Colombia - Net Exports Forecasts 36
Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index 37
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 39
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q116 (scores out of 10) 42
Colombia Risk/Reward Index 43
Market Overview 44
Food 44
Confectionery 44
Dairy 45
Meat 45
Seafood 46
Drink 47
Hot Drinks 47
Soft Drinks 47
Alcoholic Drinks 48
Mass Grocery Retail 50
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Colombia 2006-2015) 51
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Colombia 2006-2015) 52
Competitive Landscape 53
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Food Sector 53
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Drink Sector 54
Table: Key Players In Colombia's Mass Grocery Retail Market 55
Company Profile 56
Almacenes Éxito 56
Grupo Nutresa 58
Olímpica 61
Postóbon 62
SABMiller Colombia 64
Global Industry Overview 66
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 73
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 83
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 84
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 87
Demographic Forecast 89
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Colombia 1990-2025) 90
Table: Key Population Ratios (Colombia 1990-2025) 90
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Colombia 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group (Colombia 1990-2025) 91
Table: Population By Age Group % (Colombia 1990-2025) 92
Glossary 94
Food and Drink 94
Mass Grocery Retail 94
Methodology 96
Industry Forecast Methodology 96
Sector-Specific Methodology 97
Sources 97
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 98
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 99
Table: Weighting 100

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