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  3. > Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 64 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
There are numerous challenges facing producers of all commodities in Pakistan, chiefly a dire security situation, erratic power supply, lack of availability of finance and vulnerability to extreme weather events. Nevertheless, the government has taken some positive steps to improve the availability of higherquality seeds for rice, wheat and corn, which should raise yields in the medium term, . and have It has also taken steps to ease tariffs and taxes on key inputs. There have also been recent positive developments in the country's energy sector that, if sustained, could be beneficial for cotton and rice producers in particular. Our expectation for of rising prices out to 2020 also gives provides some grounds for optimism regarding cotton exports.


Key BMI Forecasts


- Cotton consumption growth to 2020: 1.1% to 10.7mn 480lb bales. High base effects and a local supply shock in the early years of our forecast period will limit growth in cotton demand.

- Wheat production growth to 2019/20: 3.2% to 26.8mn tonnes. Production growth will be modest despite government efforts to reduce input costs.

- 2017 real GDP growth: 4.2%. Up from 4.7% in 2016. Forecast to grow annually by 4.1% to 2020.

- Consumer price inflation (ave): 6.0% in 2017.Up from 4.5% in 2016.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Forecasts 26
Upstream Analysis 28
Asia GM Outlook 28
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 33
Asia Machinery Outlook 34
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 39
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 41
Downstream Analysis 46
Food 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 47
Table: Food Sales (Pakistan 2013-2020) 48
Regional Overview 50
Competitive Landscape 57
Table: Main Agricultural Companies 57
Demographic Forecast 58
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 59
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 59
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 60
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 61
Methodology 63
Industry Forecast Methodology 63
Sector-Specific Methodology 64

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