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Israel Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

Israeli petrochemicals producers are hoping that a strengthening economy and low naphtha prices will leadto a pick-up in output in 2016. However, BMI believes growth in the medium-term will be limited bycapacity constraints with no likelihood of expansion in the future.Despite 4.2% manufacturing growth and improving economic performance, the petrochemicals industrywitnessed lacklustre growth in 2015. In the first seven months of 2015, plastic and rubber output rose 1.3%y-o-y, up from 0.8% growth in 2014. Meanwhile chemicals declined 1.1% following a similar decline in theprevious year.

Table Of Contents

Israel Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 10
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Israel's Petrochemicals Sector, 2011-2019 ('000 tpa, unless otherwise stated) 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Israel - Private Consumption And Exports To Drive Growth Acceleration 20
GDP By Expenditure Outlook 22
Table: Private Consumption Forecasts 24
Table: Government Consumption Forecasts 24
Table: Fixed Investment Forecasts 25
Table: Net Exports Forecast 25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016 31
Israel Risk/Reward Index 32
Market Overview 33
Industry Trends And Developments 35
Upstream 36
Company Profile 39
Oil Refineries Ltd (ORL) 39
Israel Chemicals Ltd (ICL) 43
Regional Overview 46
Middle East And Africa Overview 46
Market Diversification Crucial To Growth 48
Tightening Ethane Supplies 49
Diversification Is The Long-Term Focus 51
Africa Falls Behind 51
Global Industry Overview 53
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 53
2016 Feedstock Outlook 55
Could US Gas Run out? 56
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 57
Long-term Outlook 57
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 61
Demographic Forecast 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Israel 1990-2025) 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (Israel 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Israel 1990-2025) 64
Table: Population By Age Group (Israel 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Israel 1990-2025) 66
Glossary 67
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 67
Methodology 68
Industry Forecast Methodology 68
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 70
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 71
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 72

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