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Qatar Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 88 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The rise in naphtha prices has enabled Qatar's ethane-fed petrochemicals industry to regain some of thecompetitive edge it lost in the past year. However, this is unlikely to lead to a revival of shelved orpostponed petrochemicals projects. Local producers are still mindful of the negative impacts of slowerAsian demand growth, increased Iranian supply over the short-term and the long-term development ofshale-based ethane-fed production in the US.In the past year, Qatar has witnessed the cancellation of two major petrochemicals projects: Al Sejeel andthe Al Karaana. The main reason for the cancellations was low naphtha prices. Together, they removedfrom our five-year forecast 2.5mn tonnes per annum (tpa) ethylene, 170,000tpa propylene, 83,000tpabutadiene, 2.02mn tpa polyethylene (PE), 760,000tpa polypropylene (PP), 1.5mn tpa mono-ethylene glycol(MEG), 300,000tpa linear alpha olefin (LAO) and 250,000tpa oxo alcohols (OXO) capacity.

Table Of Contents

Qatar Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Table: Qatar - Petrochemicals Historical Data and Forecasts, 2012-2019f 17
Macroeconomic Forecasts 18
Economic Analysis 18
Table: BMI AND BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS FORECASTS - BRENT 20
Table: QATAR - Components of GDP (% Of Total) 23
Table: QATAR - Government Consumption Forecasts 24
Table: QATAR - Private Consumption Forecasts 24
Table: QATAR - Fixed Investment Forecasts 25
Table: QATAR - Net Exports Forecasts 26
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Table: MEA Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index - Q1 2016 32
Qatar Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 33
Market Overview 34
Table: Qatar's Petrochemical Plants 34
Table: QP Subsidiaries and JVs In Petrochemicals 36
Industry Trends And Developments 39
Upstream Developments 39
Olefins And Downstream Petrochemicals 42
Fertilisers 44
Company Profile 45
Qatar Petroleum 45
Qatar Chemical Company (Q-Chem) 50
Qatar Fertiliser Company (QAFCO) 52
Qatar Fuel Additives Company (QAFAC) 54
Qatar Petrochemicals Company (QAPCO) 56
Qatar Plastic Products Company (QPPC) 58
Qatar Vinyl Company (QVC) 60
Regional Overview 62
Middle East And Africa Overview 62
Market Diversification Crucial To Growth 64
Tightening Ethane Supplies 65
Diversification Is The Long-Term Focus 67
Africa Falls Behind 67
Global Industry Overview 69
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 69
2016 Feedstock Outlook 71
Could US Gas Run out? 72
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 73
Long-term Outlook 73
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 77
Demographic Forecast 78
Demographic Outlook 78
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Qatar 1990-2025) 79
Table: Key Population Ratios (Qatar 1990-2025) 79
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Qatar 1990-2025) 80
Table: Population By Age Group (Qatar 1990-2025) 80
Table: Population By Age Group % (Qatar 1990-2025) 81
Glossary 83
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 83
Methodology 84
Industry Forecast Methodology 84
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 86
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 87
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 88

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