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France Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

BMI View

: In line with the previous quarter, we continue to forecast a decline in grains growth in 2015/16in France, as yields will return to trend after extremely favourable weather in the 2014/15 season. In thedairy sector, we believe that milk production in the short term will not be fundamentally affected by theremoval of the EU's production quota in April 2015, owing to low farmgate prices, but production willexpand strongly out to the end of our forecast period in 2019.

Key BMI Forecasts

- Wheat production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 2.7% to 40.0mn tonnes. We expect wheat to remainone of the most profitable crops in the country and the most in demand crop for domestic use and exports.
- 2015 real GDP growth: 1.3% (up from 0.4% in 2014).
- 2015 consumer price inflation: 0.4% (level from 2014).
- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD69.8bn in 2015/16, a 1.8% y-o-y increase.

Table Of Contents

France Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 11
Dairy Outlook 11
Table: France - Dairy Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook 11
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 13
Grains Outlook 14
Table: France - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 14
Table: Risks To Outlook 14
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 16
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 17
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 17
Livestock Outlook 18
Table: France - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks To Outlook 19
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 21
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 21
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (France 2011-2019) 21
Featured Analysis 22
European Agriculture: The Future Of The CAP 22
Table: EU - Agricultural Self-Sufficiency Ratios 30
Table: Select Commodities - European Production and Consumption ('000 tonnes) 34
Commodities Price Analysis 35
Global Commodities Strategy 35
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 35
Upstream Analysis 37
Europe Machinery Outlook 37
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 40
Europe GM Outlook 43
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 49
Downstream Analysis 55
Food 55
Food Consumption 55
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (France 2012-2019) 55
Prepared Food/Canned Food 56
Confectionery 57
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (France 2012-2019) 58
Regional Overview 59
Competitive Landscape 65
Table: Main Agribusiness Players 65
Demographic Forecast 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sector-Specific Methodology 72

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