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India Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 87 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We hold a positive view on the outlook for India's agribusiness sector, as the country willremain an agricultural powerhouse and should be able to maintain high levels of self-sufficiency for majorfood crops. Production growth of various commodities will be driven by strong government support androbust demand growth for manufactured foodstuff. We see significant growth opportunities in sub-sectorssuch as dairy, coffee and livestock. However, India will be increasingly vulnerable to exceptional weatherphenomena and serious water shortages. Moreover, the country will remain prone to erratic governmentinterventions, which seriously hamper its reputation as an international provider.India's government, led by Narendra Modi, has made several announcements regarding agricultural reforms.However, no real tangible progress has been made so far, as the implementation of reforms will take time tounfold. Looking ahead, the government looks committed to improve India's grains marketing system, itssupply chain and its agricultural infrastructure.

Table Of Contents

India Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: India - 2015 Summer Monsoon Rainfall and Agricultural Production By Region 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: India - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: India - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 16
Rice Outlook 17
Table: India - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 20
Sugar Outlook 21
Table: India - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Risks To Outlook 22
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 27
Dairy Outlook 28
Table: India - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 28
Table: Risks To Outlook 29
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 33
Livestock Outlook 34
Table: India - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 35
Table: Risks To Outlook 35
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 40
Coffee Outlook 41
Table: India - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 41
Table: Risks To Outlook 41
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 44
Palm Oil Outlook 45
Table: India - Palm Oil Production And Consumption Outlook 45
Table: Risks To Outlook 46
Table: Palm Oil Production and Consumption (India 2012-2019) 50
Commodity Price Analysis 51
Global Commodities Strategy 51
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 52
Upstream Analysis 54
Asia GM Outlook 54
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use 56
Asia Machinery Outlook 57
Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (Cnybn) 60
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 60
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 63
Downstream Analysis 68
Food 68
Food Consumption 68
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 69
Confectionery 70
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 71
Dairy 72
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 73
Regional Overview 74
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops 78
Competitive Landscape 80
Table: India - Major Agribusiness Companies 80
Demographic Forecast 81
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 82
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 82
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 83
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 83
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 84
Methodology 86
Industry Forecast Methodology 86
Sector-Specific Methodology 87

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