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India Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 91 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
We hold a positive view on the outlook for India's agribusiness sector, as the country will remain an agricultural powerhouse and should be able to maintain high levels of self-sufficiency for major food crops. Production growth of various commodities will be driven by strong government support and robust demand growth for manufactured foodstuff. We see significant growth opportunities in sub-sectors such as dairy, coffee and livestock. However, India will be increasingly vulnerable to exceptional weather phenomena and serious water shortages and the country's grain and sugar output will remain highly volatile. This, coupled with erratic government interventions, will often keep domestic supply tight, suggesting India will remain an unstable international provider of grains, sugar and milk powder.

India's government, led by Narendra Modi, has made several announcements regarding agricultural reforms. However, no real tangible progress has been made so far, as the implementation of reforms will take time to unfold. Looking ahead, the government looks committed to improve India's grains marketing system, its supply chain and its agricultural infrastructure. We continue to believe that, by implementing these reforms, particularly in the field of yields and supply chains, India has the potential to overcome lingering under nutrition problems to become a large and more importantly stable exporter of a large number of commodities. Increasing yields for grains will also allow farmers to diversify their crops and increase production for other, more value-added commodities.

Table Of Contents

India Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: India - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 14
Table: GRAINS PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (INDIA 2013-2020) 18
Rice Outlook 19
Latest Updates 19
Table: India - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 19
Table: Risks To Outlook 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: RICE PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (INDIA 2013-2020) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: India - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 24
Table: Risks To Outlook 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (India 2013-2020) 27
Dairy Outlook 28
Latest Updates 28
Table: India - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 29
Table: Risks To Outlook 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: DAIRY PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (INDIA 2013-2020) 35
Livestock Outlook 36
Latest Updates 36
Table: India - Livestock Production and Consumption Outlook 37
Table: Risks To Outlook 37
Structural Trends 38
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption Data (India 2013-2020f) 42
Palm Oil Outlook 43
Latest Updates 43
Table: India - Palm Oil Production and Consumption Outlook 43
Table: Risks To Outlook 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: PALM OIL and SOYBEAN PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (INDIA 2013-2020) 47
Coffee Outlook 48
Latest Updates 48
Table: India - Coffee Production And Consumption Outlook 48
Table: Risks To Outlook 49
Structural Trends 49
Table: COFFEE PRODUCTION and CONSUMPTION (INDIA 2013-2020) 52
Commodity Price Analysis 53
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 53
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 53
Upstream Analysis 55
Asia Machinery Outlook 55
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 60
Asia GM Outlook 62
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 66
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 67
Downstream Analysis 72
Food 72
Latest Updates 72
Structural Trends 73
Table: Food Sales (India 2013-2020) 75
Regional Overview 77
Competitive Landscape 84
Table: India - Major Agribusiness Companies 84
Demographic Forecast 85
Table: Population Headline Indicators (India 1990-2025) 86
Table: Key Population Ratios (India 1990-2025) 86
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (India 1990-2025) 87
Table: Population By Age Group (India 1990-2025) 87
Table: Population By Age Group % (India 1990-2025) 88
Methodology 90
Industry Forecast Methodology 90
Sector-Specific Methodology 91

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