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Estonia Infrastructure Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

BMI View: A return to positive growth in Estonia's construction and infrastructure industry is forecast for 2016, before holding fairly robust momentum over the next decade. Hot spots can be found in residential building, although a housing bubble may be on the horizon, while EU transport and energy interconnectivity projects are seeing focused investment across the Baltics. Financing may be an issue given the small size of the market and the only tentative recovery in Estonia's external demand picture, although private consumption will remain resilient in the short term. Latest Updates And Structural Trends

-Positive growth will return to the Estonian construction industry in 2016, with a confident 4.7% rebound after three years of recession.

-We see the residential and non-residential sector only growing in dominance as a percentage of total construction value over our forecast period, rising from 63.9% in 2015 to 73.7% in 2024.

-Despite projects gaining momentum, Estonia's energy infrastructure sector will grow only moderately over the next decade, averaging 1.8% growth annually to 2024, when its value will amount to EUR300mn (USD406mn). -Transport infrastructure will contribute 47% to total infrastructure value in 2016 at EUR210mn (USD215mn), before falling to 45.2% in 2024 and a total of EUR280mn (USD330mn).

Table Of Contents

Estonia Infrastructure Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Estonia 2015-2021) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Estonia 2015-2015) 8
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Infrastructure And Construction Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Estonia 10 Year Construction Industry Forecast 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Industry Forecast Scenario 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Estonia 2015-2024) 15
Structural Trends 16
Major Projects Table - Transport 22
Table: Major Projects - Transport 22
Energy And Utilities - Outlook And Overview 23
Industry Forecast Scenario 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Estonia 2015-2024) 23
Structural Trends 24
Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities 28
Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities 28
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 29
Industry Forecast Scenario 29
Latest Updates 29
Table: Residential And Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Estonia 2015-2025) 29
Structural Trends 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Estonia Infrastructure Risk Reward Index 33
Risk/Rewards Index 33
Rewards 33
Risks 33
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 36
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 40
Market Overview 41
Company Profile 42
Merko 42
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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