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Polyester Chain Report 2014

  • November 2014
  • -
  • YnFx.com
  • -
  • 192 pages

This “Polyester Chain Report: 2014” contains more than 192 pages packed with up-to-date ‘not easy to find’ statistics and objective analysis of the trends and recent development of the polyester Industry. It covers the entire polyester value chain beginning from feedstock ethylene and paraxylene further to intermediate – PTA & MEG, and down to polyester fibre and filaments. The Report presents tabulation and graphical presentation of trends in demand and supply of polyester chain re-gion-wise and country-wise from 2008 to 2013.

The most important aspect of this report is the long term forecast on capacity, pro-duction, apparent consumption and the likely surplus/deficit that would arise be-tween 2014 through 2019 for the entire chain including ethylene, paraxylene, mono ethylene glycol, purified terephthalic acid, polyester fibre and polyester filament.

The key feature of this report is the analysis of price drivers of the polyester chain. This is an important element in a fast changing chemical fibre industry topped by the volatile crude oil markets and fluctuating currencies. Upheavals in Middle East also underpin the changes in crude oil market, thus exerting pressure in the polyester chain on either side.

Some of the additional features of this report are the brief description of processes used in the industry, latest process, change in usage of feedstock or raw material, end use and derivatives along with the complete listing of producers with their plant locations and capacity.

Global ethylene capacity grew at a faster rate in 2013 with Global capacities rouching 154 million tons as of 1 January, 2014. The year saw over 4.2 million tons of capacity addition. Of this 3.4 million tons were added in Asian region. The expansion was just 1 million ton in North America while it was flat in Middle East, East Europe and CIS regions.

In Asia, China, Singapore and Taiwan have added ethylene capacity. Asia to the tune of 1.77 million tons, 1 million ton and 0.6 million ton, respectively. About 0.83 million ton was added in USA, taking the total capacity in North Americas to over 34 million ton.

Global consumption of MEG jumped 6.3% to 24.3 million tons with Asia absorbing more than 70% of global supplies. China was the largest consumer of ethylene glycol in the world, the import dependence at 70%.

Growth in polyester industry over the next six years upto 2019 is forecast inch up from the trend seen in the previous six years (from 2008 to 2013). Net capacity addition between 2014 and 2019 is predicted at 5.4 million ton, taking the outstanding capacity to 27.5 million tons by 2019. This implies an annual growth rate of around 3.7%. as against 4.5% per annum between 2008 and 2013.

Global polyester staple fiber production is estimated to touch 18.7 million tons by 2019, as compared to 15.4 million tons in 2013. However, this will be in deficit to the predicted de-mand in 2019 as most regional demand will exceed production, excepting Asia. Asia will have a surplus of close to 1.5 million ton which will be consumed by other regions in deficit.

According to YnFx, the fastest PSF consuming region with substantial volume in the next six years upto 2019 will be Asia at 4.1% per annum, with demand at 14.5 million tons, dominat-ing the global PSF market, but compared to the demand growth in the past 6 years, going ahead will be significantly slower.

Table Of Contents

Polyester Chain Report 2014
Preface 4
Executive Summary 8
Ethylene 12
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 12
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 12
END USE / DERIVATIVES 16
TRENDS IN ETHYLENE DEMAND and SUPPLY IN 2013 17
ETHYLENE MARKETS BEYOND 2013 19
ETHYLENE PRICE TREND 22
Paraxylene 28
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 28
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 28
END USE IN 2013 30
TRENDS IN PARAXYLENE DEMAND and SUPPLY IN 2013 30
PARAXYLENE MARKETS IN 2013 AND BEYOND 32
Purified Terephthalic Acid 40
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 40
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 40
END USE 43
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 43
TRENDS IN PTA DEMAND and SUPPLY IN 2013 44
PTA MARKETS IN 2013 AND BEYOND 46
PTA PRICING 48
Mono Ethylene Glycol 67
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 67
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 67
END USE 69
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE 69
TRENDS IN MEG DEMAND and SUPPLY IN 2013 70
MEG MARKETS IN 2013 AND BEYOND 72
MEG PRICING 74
Polyester Staple Fibre 95
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 95
CHARACTERISTIC 95
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 95
END USE 97
TRENDS IN DEMAND AND SUPPLY IN 2013 97
ASIA DOMINATES 98
PSF MARKETS IN 2013 AND BEYOND 98
Polyester Filament Yarn 129
PRODUCT DESCRIPTION 129
PROCESS / TECHNOLOGY / FEEDSTOCK 130
END USE 131
TRENDS IN POLYESTER FILAMENT DEMAND and SUPPLY IN 2013 131
PFY MARKETS IN 2013 AND BEYOND 133
FACTORS DRIVING POLYESTER PRICING IN 2013 169
Polyester - International Trade 173
About YarnsandFibers 191

List of Tables
Table 1.1. Physical Properties of Ethylene 12
Table 1.2. Global use of ethylene: 2013 15
Table 1.3. Global ethylene supply by feedstock: 2013 16
Table 1.4. Ethylene - Supply Balance 19
Table 1.5. US Planned Ethylene expansions based on Shale Gas 22
Table 1.6. Ethylene Price Trends 23
Table 1.7. Demand and Supply of Ethylene 24
Table 1.8. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Ethylene 25
Table 1.9. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Ethylene 26
Table 1.10. Ynfx Regionwise Demand-Supply Forecast for Ethylene 27
Table 2.1. Physical Properties of Paraxylene 28
Table 2.2. Paraxylene - Supply Balance 32
Table 2.3. Paraxylene Price Trends 33
Table 2.4. Paraxylene capacity addition (In '000 tns) 34
Table 2.5. Demand and Supply of Paraxylene 36
Table 2.6. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Paraxylene 37
Table 2.7. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Paraxylene 38
Table 2.8. Ynfx Regionwise Demand-Supply Forecast for Paraxylene 39
Table 3.1. Physical Properties of PTA 40
Table 3.2. Top 10 Terephthalic Acid Producers in 2013 43
Table 3.3. PTA - Supply Balance 45
Table 3.4. PTA capacity addition (In '000 tns) 47
Table 3.5. Purified Terephthalic Acid Price Trends 49
Table 3.6. Details of Terephthalic Acid Producers in 2013 50
Table 3.7. Demand and Supply of Purified Terephthalic Acid 52
Table 3.8. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Purified Terephthalic Acid 57
Table 3.9. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Purified Terephthalic Acid 62
Table 4.1. Physical Properties of MEG 67
Table 4.2. Top 10 Mono-Ethylene Glycol Producers in 2013 69
Table 4.3. MEG - Supply Balance 72
Table 4.4. Monoethylene Glycol Price Trends 74
Table 4.5. Details of Mono Ethylene Glycol Producers in 2013 75
Table 4.6. Demand and Supply of Mono Ethylene Glycol 77
Table 4.7. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Mono Ethylene Glycol 82
Table 4.8. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Mono Ethylene Glycol 87
Table 4.9. Demand and Supply Forecast for Mono Ethylene Glycol 92
Table 5.1. Polyester Staple Fibre - Supply Balance 100
Table 5.2. Details of Polyester Staple Fibre Producers in 2013 100
Table 5.3. Demand and Supply of Polyester Staple Fibre 105
Table 5.4. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Polyester Staple Fibre 110
Table 5.5. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Polyester Staple Fibre 115
Table 5.6. Ratio Analysis of Demand and Supply of Polyester Staple Fibre 120
Table 5.7. Ynfx Countrywise Demand-Supply Forecast for Polyester Staple Fibre 125
Table 6.1. Polyester Filament Yarn - Supply Balance 134
Table 6.2. Details of Polyester Filament Yarn Producers in 2013 135
Table 6.3. Demand and Supply of Polyester Filament Yarn 143
Table 6.4. Percentage Change in Demand and Supply of Polyester Filament Yarn 148
Table 6.5. Global Distribution of Demand and Supply of Polyester Filament Yarn 153
Table 6.6. Ratio Analysis of Demand and Supply of Polyester Filament Yarn 158
Table 6.7. Ynfx Countrywise Demand-Supply Forecast for Polyester Filament Yarn 163
Table 7.1. Polyester Chain Price Movement in 2013 169
Table 7.2. PSF Price Trends (1.4/1.5D) 170
Table 7.3. PFY Price Trends (POY 75D) 172
Table 8.1. Global Polyester Trade - Segment-wise 173
Table 8.2. Global Trade in Primary Polyester* 174
Table 8.3. Global Trade in Polyester Staple Fibre * 178
Table 8.4. Global Trade in Polyester Filament Yarn* 181
Table 8.5. Global Trade in Polyester Spun Yarn* 184
Table 8.6. Global Trade in Polyester Fabric* 187

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