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Germany - Broadband Market Insights, Statistics and Forecasts

  • September 2014
  • -
  • Paul Budde Communication Pty Ltd
  • -
  • 48 pages

Germany has the second largest broadband market in Europe. The dominant DSL platform is led by Telekom Deutschland which has invested in ADSL2+ and VDSL upgrades serving many urban areas. Although it continues to invest in fibre, financial and market considerations have more recently encouraged the company to pursue DSL vectoring technologies. This strategy is aimed at competing with cablcos as also reaching the government and European broadband targets by 2020. The greatly consolidated cable sector has invested in extensive DOCSIS3.0 technologies, offering widespread 200Mb/s services which DSL cannot yet match, and an expectation of developing commercial services offering up to 400Mb/s. Faster broadband is creating demand for new bundled services while intense competition has seen prices fall dramatically. Lower charges for local loop unbundling imposed by the regulator should also help increase competition and lower prices further.
This report profiles Germany's fixed and wireless broadband markets, together with forecasts to 2020 and an analysis of developments with related technologies such as fibre-to-the-home, powerline broadband, wireless broadband, WiFi and internet via satellite. It also examines Telekom's Next Generation Network and the regulatory issues relating to competitor access to new networks.

Key developments:

Government adopts Digital Agenda 2014 - 2017 program to expand broadband services nationally by 2018; Telekom Deutschland launches vectoring VDSL; Vodafone plans to roll out its own VDSL infrastructure in 2015; Primacom purchases two more regional telcos; NGA Forum adopts framework policy on the interoperability of broadband networks; EC closes infringement case against government for protecting TD in VDSL market; TD forms separate FttP division; Vodafone considers migrating DSL subscribers to LTE network; KDG extends 100Mb/s DOCSIS 3.0 network to 6.9 million homes, rolls out free WiFi network in Berlin; TD plans DSL vectoring though regulatory hurdles remain, signs deal with Fon Wireless to expand WiFi network; Liberty Global acquires Kabel BW; regulator's market data for 2012/13, VATM market data for H1 2013; telcos' operating and financial data to Q4 2013; market developments into 2014.

Companies covered in this report include:

Telekom Deutschland, United Internet, Vodafone, Tiscali, Freenet, Telefónica, QSC, Kabel BW, Kabel Deutschland, Unitymedia, PrimaCom, The Cloud, Energie Baden-Wurttemberg.

Table Of Contents

Germany - Broadband Market Insights, Statistics and Forecasts
1. Synopsis
2. Overview
2.1 Government support
2.1.1 Digital Agenda 2014 - 2017
2.2 Government Broadband Strategy
2.3 Broadband developments
2.3.1 Broadband statistics
3. Cable modems
3.1 Cable market consolidation
3.2 Regulating cable access
3.3 Cable players
3.3.1 Kabel BW
3.3.2 Kabel Deutschland (KDG)
3.3.3 Unitymedia Kabel BW
3.3.4 PrimaCom
4. Asymmetrical Digital Subscriber Line (ADSL)
4.1 Telekom Deutschland
4.2 Other service providers
4.2.1 Versatel
4.2.2 United Internet
4.2.3 Vodafone
4.2.4 Tiscali
4.2.5 Freenet
4.2.6 Telefónica
4.2.7 QSC
4.3 ADSL2+
4.4 VDSL
4.5 Vectoring DSL
5. Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) networks
5.1 Regulating fibre access
5.2 Telekom Deutschland
5.3 Other developments
5.3.1 Cologne
5.3.2 Hamburg
5.3.3 Schwerte
5.3.4 Munich
5.3.5 Hanau
5.3.6 Essen
5.3.7 Leipzig FttP network launches
5.3.8 Other operators
6. Broadband Powerline (BPL)
6.1 Energie Baden-Wurttemberg
6.2 Vype (Mannheim)
6.3 Power Plus Communications (PPC)
6.4 DREWAG (Dresden)
7. Wireless broadband
7.1 Wireless Local Loop (WLL)
7.2 WiMAX/WiFi
7.3 Operators
7.3.1 Telekom Deutschland
7.3.2 Deutsche Bahn trials
7.4 Wireless LANS
7.4.1 The Cloud
7.4.2 Vodafone
7.4.3 O2
7.4.4 T-Com
7.5 Broadband Wireless Access (BWA)
7.6 PAMR
7.7 Internet via satellite
7.8 Mobile broadband
8. Forecasts broadband subscribers 2010-2012; 2020
8.1.1 Scenario 1 higher growth broadband subscriber growth
8.1.2 Scenario 2 lower growth broadband subscriber growth
8.2 Notes on scenario forecasts
9. Related reports
Table 1 Historic - Internet users and penetration rate 1999 - 2004
Table 2 Internet users and penetration rate 2005 - 2014
Table 3 Broadband subscriber lines by type 2006 - 2013
Table 4 Broadband subscribers by platform 2001 - 2013
Table 5 Narrowband internet traffic in minutes 1999 - 2012
Table 6 Growth in broadband traffic, by month and year 2005 - 2014
Table 7 Proportion of DSL subscribers by provider 2001 - 2014
Table 8 Market share of broadband subscribers by provider June 2013
Table 9 Broadband penetration 2001 - 2014
Table 10 Broadband penetration by sector 2007 - 2013
Table 11 Broadband lines by data rates 2005 - 2013
Table 12 Proportion of broadband lines by data rates (VATM data) 2007 - 2013
Table 13 Broadband market share by data rates (regulator data) 2010 2011; 2013
Table 14 Broadband coverage by access speed 2012
Table 15 Broadband market share by operator 2010; 2013
Table 16 Cable subscribers 2000 - 2014
Table 17 Kabel BW broadband and telephony subscribers (historic) 2010 - 2011
Table 18 Kabel BW financial data (historic) 2006 - 2012
Table 19 Kabel Deutschland financial data 2008 - 2013
Table 20 Kabel Deutschland subscribers by sector 2007 2013
Table 21 Kabel Deutschland RGUs by sector 2007 - 2013
Table 22 Kabel Deutschland blended ARPU 2007 - 2012
Table 23 Unitymedia Kabel BW broadband and telephony subscribers 2006 - 2013
Table 24 Unitymedia Kabel BW financial data 2006 - 2013
Table 25 Proportion of DSL connections by provider 2001 - 2013
Table 26 DSL connections by provider 2001 - 2013
Table 27 DSL household penetration rate 2005 - 2014
Table 28 Telekom Deutschland wholesale and resale lines 2004 - 2014
Table 29 Versatel financial data (historic) 2008 - 2011
Table 30 Versatel mass market subscribers (historic) 2008 - 2011
Table 31 United Internet financial data 2007 - 2014
Table 32 United Internet subscribers by type 2010 - 2014
Table 33 Freenet fixed network subscribers by sector 2005 - 2013
Table 34 Freenet financial data by segment 2005 - 2013
Table 35 Telefónica (O2) broadband subscribers 2007 2013
Table 36 QSC financial data 2006 - 2013
Table 37 Households passed with fibre 2007 - 2014
Table 38 Satellite broadband subscribers 2004 - 2013
Table 39 Mobile broadband revenue, annual growth 2004 - 2013
Table 40 Mobile 3G data users 2009 - 2012
Table 41 Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers higher growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020
Table 42 Forecast fixed-line broadband penetration higher growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020
Table 43 Forecast broadband subscribers lower growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020
Table 44 Forecast broadband penetration lower growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020
Chart 1 Internet users and penetration rate 2000 - 2014
Chart 2 Broadband subscriber lines by type 2006 2013
Chart 3 Broadband subscribers by platform 2001 - 2013
Chart 4 Broadband lines by data rates 2005 2013
Chart 5 Proportion of broadband lines by data rates (VATM data) 2007 2013
Chart 6 Kabel BW financial data (historic) 2006 - 2012
Chart 7 Kabel Deutschland financial data 2008 - 2013
Chart 8 Kabel Deutschland RGUs by sector 2007 - 2013
Chart 9 Kabel Deutschland blended ARPU 2007 - 2013
Chart 10 Unitymedia Kabel BW broadband and telephony subscribers 2006 - 2013
Chart 11 Unitymedia Kabel BW financial data 2006 - 2013
Chart 12 Telekom Deutschland wholesale and resale lines 2004 - 2014
Chart 13 Versatel financial data (historic) 2008 - 2011
Chart 14 United Internet financial data 2007 - 2014
Chart 15 United Internet subscribers by type 2010 2014
Chart 16 Freenet fixed network subscribers by sector 2005 - 2013
Chart 17 Freenet financial data by segment 2005 - 2013
Chart 18 QSC financial data 2007 - 2013
Chart 19 Households passed with fibre 2007 2014
Chart 20 Forecast fixed-line broadband subscribers higher growth scenario 2010 - 2012; 2020

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