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Thailand Renewables Report Q4 2016

  • August 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 39 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates



BMI View:
Supportive policy and regulatory environment, combined with the government's strongcommitment to diversify the power mix, will continue to attract investment into Thailand's non-hydrorenewables industry over the coming decade. Growth will be driven by particularly strong expansion in thesolar segment, with notable additions coming from biomass & waste sectors. Nonetheless, we believe theprogress will be too slow to achieve the country's ambitious renewables targets.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends


- We forecast Thailand's non-hydro renewables capacity to nearly double over the coming decade, reaching6.4GW by 2025. The capacity mix will be dominated by biomass & waste and solar sectors, while windis set for a relatively minor role.

- In terms of generation, we forecast an average annual growth rate of 6.4% during 2016-2025, with thepace gradually decelerating towards the end of the review period. Biomass & waste is expected to retainits dominance in the generation mix, accounting for 63.3% of the total in 2025 (up from 61.6% in 2015).

- In late April 2016, Thailand's Energy regulatory Commission approved a connection of 281MW solar PVcapacity from 67 different facilities. This underscores out positive outlook for the solar sector, which willbe driven by the country's attractive feed-in tariff programme and local manufacturing capacity.However, the lack of additional procurement plans will see solar capacity growth slow after an initialboom in 2015/2016.

- In May 2016, Chinese wind turbine manufacturer Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology acquired a10% stake in Thailand-based Inter Far East Energy Corp PCL's wind power division.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Renewables Report Q4 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Renewables Headline Forecasts (Thailand 2015-2021) 7
Latest Updates And Structural Trends 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 10
Thailand Renewables Forecast Scenario 10
Latest Updates 10
Structural Trends 10
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Thailand 2014-2019) 18
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Thailand 2020-2025) 19
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Thailand 2014-2019) 20
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Thailand 2020-2025) 21
Thailand Renewables Projects Database 22
Table: Thailand - Top 10 Renewables Projects By Capacity 22
Industry Risk Reward Index 23
Rewards 23
Risks 23
Market Overview 25
Sustainable Energy Policy And Infrastructure 25
Targets 25
Emissions 26
Subsidies 26
Table: Renewable Feed-In Tariffs In Thailand, 2010 27
Table: Residential Solar Feed-In Tariffs In Thailand, 2013 28
Infrastructure 29
Competitive Landscape 30
Electricity Generating Authority Of Thailand (EGAT) 31
EGCO 31
Glow Energy 31
Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Ltd (RATCH) 32
Wind Energy Holdings (WEH) 32
Glossary 33
Table: Glossary Of Terms 33
Methodology 34
Methodology And Sources 34
Industry Forecast Methodology 34
Sources 36
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 36
Table: Renewables Risk/Reward Index Indicators 38
Table: Weighting Indicators 39

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