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  5. > Philippines Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 72 pages

BMI View
>br>: We hold a positive view on the Philippines' agribusiness sector in the long term, given thecountry's potential for expansion into new sectors, such as palm oil. We particularly like the outlook forsugar production and believe the livestock sector will continue to show healthy growth rates. ThePhilippines' vast consumption market, along with strong government support, will foster domestic andforeign investment and favour output expansion. However, backyard farming and infrastructure problems,especially transport costs, will continue to hamper the sector's growth. These inefficiencies will becomeincreasingly crippling as South East Asia moves towards the ASEAN Economic Community, which issupposed to lead to trade and investment liberalisation in the region. Although the Philippines' governmentappears to have taken the measure of the challenge and is now supporting rice and sugar production,agriculture in the country remains uncompetitive. As such, the sector is at risk of low cost imports from itsneighbours over the medium term.

Key Forecasts

- Sugar production growth to 2018/19: 14.5% to 2.8mn tonnes. Sugar production growth will be drivenby improvements in yields. The government has approved the Sugarcane Industry Development Act,which is aiming at diversifying the sugar sector towards more value-added products and will providefinancing to farmers.

- Poultry production growth to 2018/198: 14.1% to 976,000 tonnes. Poultry production will recordsteady but unspectacular growth. Growth will be driven by investment, both domestic and foreign.

- Rice production growth to 2018/19: 11.7% to 13.2mn tonnes. Production growth will be fuelled bycontinued improvements in infrastructure and yields as the government looks to attain self-sufficiencyand support output.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Philippines - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Philippines - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 15
Rice Outlook 16
Table: Philippines - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 16
Table: Philippines - Risks To Rice Outlook 17
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 22
Sugar Outlook 23
Table: Philippines - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Philippines - Risks To Sugar Outlook 24
Table: Philippines - Sugar Mills Operational Data 25
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 27
Dairy Outlook 28
Table: Philippines - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 28
Table: Philippines - Risks To Dairy Outlook 29
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 31
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 32
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 32
Table: Whole Milk Powder Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 32
Livestock Outlook 33
Table: Philippines - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 33
Table: Philippines - Risks To Livestock Outlook 34
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 38
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 38
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Philippines 2011-2019) 38
Commodities Price Analysis 39
Global Commodities Strategy 39
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 39
Upstream Analysis 41
Asia GM Outlook 41
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use 43
Asia Machinery Outlook 44
Table: China Grain Public Production Support Programme (Cnybn) 47
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 47
Asia Fertiliser Outlook 50
Downstream Analysis 55
Food 55
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2011-2018) 56
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2011-2018) 57
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Philippines 2011-2018) 58
Regional Overview 59
Table: Impact Of El Niño On Crops 63
Competitive Landscape 65
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 65
Demographic Forecast 66
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025) 67
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025) 67
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025) 68
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025) 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Sector-Specific Methodology 72

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