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Philippines Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

We hold a positive view on the Philippines’ agribusiness sector in the long term, given the country’s potential for expansion into new sectors, such as palm oil. We particularly like the outlook for sugar mills and believe the livestock sector will continue to show healthy growth rates. The Philippines’ vast consumption market along with some government support, will foster domestic and foreign investment and favour output expansion. However, backyard farming and infrastructure problems, especially transport costs, will continue to hamper the sector’s growth. These inefficiencies will become increasingly crippling as South East Asia moves towards the ASEAN Economic Community, which is supposed to lead to trade and investment liberalisation across the region. Although the Philippines’ government appears to have taken the measure of the challenge and is now supporting rice and sugar production, agriculture in the country remains uncompetitive. As such, the sector is at risk of low-cost imports from its neighbours over the medium term.


Key Forecasts


- Sugar production growth to 2019/20: 22.7% to 2.7mn tonnes. Sugar production growth will be driven by improvements in yields. The government approved the Sugarcane Industry Development Act, which is aiming at diversifying the sugar sector towards more value-added products and will provide financing to farmers.

- Poultry production growth to 2019/20: 16.3% to 1.3mn tonnes. Poultry production will record steady but unspectacular growth. Growth will be driven by investment, both domestic and foreign.

Table Of Contents

Philippines Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Philippines - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Philippines - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 17
Rice Outlook 18
Latest Updates 18
Table: Philippines - Rice Production And Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Philippines - Risks To Rice Outlook 19
Structural Trends 19
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 21
Sugar Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: Philippines - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Philippines - Risks To Sugar Outlook 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 27
Dairy Outlook 28
Latest Updates 28
Table: Philippines - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 28
Table: Philippines - Risks To Dairy Outlook 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Philippines 2012-2020) 32
Livestock Outlook 33
Latest Updates 33
Table: Philippines - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 34
Table: Philippines - Risks To Livestock Outlook 34
Structural Trends 35
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Philippines 2013-2020) 38
Commodities Price Analysis 40
Commodity Strategy 40
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and Bmi Forecasts 40
Upstream Analysis 42
Asia Machinery Outlook 42
Table: Select Countries - Average Size Of Farms, Hectares 47
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 49
Asia GM Outlook 54
Table: Selected Countries - GM Crops Use (mn hectares) 59
Downstream Analysis 60
Food 60
Table: Food Sales (Philippines 2013-2020) 63
Regional Overview 65
Competitive Landscape 72
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 72
Demographic Forecast 73
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Philippines 1990-2025) 74
Table: Key Population Ratios (Philippines 1990-2025) 74
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Philippines 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group (Philippines 1990-2025) 75
Table: Population By Age Group % (Philippines 1990-2025) 76
Methodology 78
Industry Forecast Methodology 78
Sector-Specific Methodology 79

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