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China Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 164 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Sustained weakness in global oil prices continues to limit investment in upstream activities,which is needed to boost China's flagging oil production growth prospects. The country's long-term oil andgas consumption growth outlook is negatively impacted by sluggish economic growth, a slowdown inindustrial activity and a structural shift away from an investment-driven economy to a consumption-drivenmodel, though the country's large consumer market will see it remain a sizable consumer of crude oil,refined fuels and natural gas through to 2024.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts
- China's crude oil production will fall by 5.9% over the next decade, as lower oil prices results inproduction cuts by the country's largest oil producers, namely CNPC and Sinopec, and natural declinesweigh on output from existing fields.

- Sluggish economic growth, a slowdown in industrial activity and a structural shift away from oil-basedfuel consumption will see China's refined fuels consumption grow at an average annual rate of just 1.4%over the next 10 years (compared with 6.0% seen over 2003-2013).

Table Of Contents

China Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 9
Table: Headline Forecasts (China 2013-2019) 9
Latest Updates and Key Forecasts 9
SWOT 11
Oil and Gas SWOT 11
Industry Forecast 13
Upstream Exploration 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Offshore Discoveries In Recent Years 14
Table: Notable Offshore JVs 15
Table: Recoverable Shale Gas Estimates In China 17
Table: Major IOC Involvement In China's Shale Gas Exploration 18
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (China 2013-2018) 21
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (China 2019-2024) 22
Upstream Projects 23
Table: China - Key Upstream Projects 23
Upstream Production - Oil 28
Latest Updates 28
Structural Trends 28
Table: Oil Production (China 2013-2018) 30
Table: Oil Production (China 2019-2024) 30
Upstream Production - Gas 31
Latest Updates 31
Structural Trends 31
Major Gas Fields 32
Growth Sources 33
Risks To Outlook 34
Table: Gas Production (China 2013-2018) 34
Table: Gas Production (China 2019-2024) 35
Refining 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (China 2013-2018) 38
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (China 2019-2024) 38
Refined Fuels Consumption 39
Latest Updates 39
Structural Trends 39
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (2013-2018) 42
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (China 2019-2024) 43
Gas Consumption 43
Latest Updates 43
Structural Trends 43
Risks To Outlook 45
Table: Gas Consumption (China 2013-2018) 45
Table: Gas Consumption (China 2019-2024) 45
Trade - Oil 46
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 46
Latest Updates 46
Structural Trends 46
Crude Oil Trade Partners 47
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (China 2013-2019) 49
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (China 2019-2024) 49
Fuels Trade Forecasts 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 49
Fuels Trade Partners 51
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (China 2013-2018) 51
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (China 2019-2024) 52
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 53
Latest Updates 53
Structural Trends 53
LNG Deals 54
Table: Major LNG Supply Deals 55
Table: Gas Net Exports (China 2013-2018) 55
Table: Gas Net Exports (China 2019-2024) 56
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 57
China - Risk/Reward Index 57
China Upstream Index - Overview 57
China Upstream Index - Rewards 57
China Upstream Index - Risks 57
China Downstream Index - Overview 58
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 58
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 59
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 62
Market Overview 65
China Energy Market Overview 65
Regulatory Regime 65
Fiscal Regime 66
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 66
Table: Offshore Production Royalty Structure 67
Table: China: Tiered Gas Pricing For Residential Users 68
Table: Shanghai: Tiered Gas Pricing System For Residential Users 68
Licensing Rounds 68
Table: 2014 Offshore Blocks Open To Foreign Participation 69
Table: Winners Of Second Shale Gas Licensing Round 70
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 72
Oil Refineries 72
Table: Refineries In China 72
Oil Storage Facilities 74
Table: China's Strategic Petroleum Reserves 74
Table: Commercial Crude Oil Storage Terminals In China 76
Oil Pipelines 77
Table: Major Oil Pipelines In China 77
LNG Receiving Terminals 77
Table: LNG Terminals In China 78
Gas Storage Facilities 79
Gas Pipelines 80
Table: Major Gas Pipelines in China 80
Coal-To-Gas (CTG) Plants 81
Table: Planned CTG Plants 81
Coal-To-Gas Pipeline 82
Table: Planned CTG Pipelines 82
Competitive Landscape 83
Competitive Landscape Summary 83
Table: Key Players - Chinese Oil And Gas Sector 86
Table: Key Upstream Players 86
Table: Key Downstream Players 87
Company Profile 88
China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) 88
PetroChina 95
Sinopec 102
China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) 112
Shell (China) 124
BP China 128
ExxonMobil China 131
Husky Energy 133
Chevron 136
Total 139
Other Summaries 142
Regional Overview 147
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term OandG Production 147
Glossary 157
Table: Glossary Of Terms 157
Methodology 159
Industry Forecast Methodology 159
Source 161
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 161
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 163
Table: Weighting 164

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