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Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 58 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Plans for a LNG import terminal will pose upside risk to Hong Kong's increasing natural gas consumption. In line with our Country Risk team's downward economic growth outlook for Hong Kong, we have downgraded Hong Kong's refined fuels consumption growth to a rough average of 1.1% per annum over the next ten years.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts


- CLP Power's plan to build Hong Kong's first LNG import terminal will complement the city's piped gas imports from mainland China. The project will give the government flexibility to aggressively increase the share of natural gas in the energy mix in an economical way and will also allow for supply diversification. This poses upside risks to our gas imports forecast.

- Strong political and financial backing lends support to Hong Kong's plan to deploy its first FSRU by 2020, helping to accelerate the shift away from coal in favour of the cleaner-burning natural gas in the power sector. This poses upside risk to our gas imports forecast.

- Offshore gas fields in the South China Sea - within the vicinity of Hainan Island and Yacheng - will remain a key supply source for Hong Kong. This is due to new gas discoveries and the option for producers to capitalise on existing infrastructure - specifically the Yacheng pipeline - to transport their new production to Hong Kong.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Hong Kong 2014-2020) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Upstream Production - Oil 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 9
Upstream Production - Gas 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 10
Refining 10
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 10
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 11
Refined Fuels Consumption 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 17
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 17
Gas Consumption 17
Latest Updates 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 20
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 21
Trade - Oil 21
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 21
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2020) 21
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 21
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 22
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 23
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 23
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2014-2019) 28
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2020-2025) 28
Industry Risk Reward Index 29
Hong Kong - Risk/Reward Index 29
Upstream Index 29
Downstream Index 29
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 30
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 31
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 33
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 36
Market Overview 37
Hong Kong Energy Market Overview 37
Regulatory Structure 37
Table: Hong Kong - Key Taxes 38
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 38
Service Stations 38
Oil Storage And Terminals 38
Gas Pipelines 39
LNG Terminal 40
Competitive Landscape 41
Competitive Landscape Summary 41
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Oil and Gas Sector 42
Table: Key Downstream Players 42
Regional Overview 43
Asia - Oil Outlook Subdued On Persistent Price Weakness 43
Glossary 51
Table: Glossary Of Terms 51
Methodology 53
Industry Forecast Methodology 53
Source 55
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 55
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 57
Table: Weighting 58

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