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  5. > Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: With no domestic energy resources, Hong Kong will be required to meet growing oil and gasdemand through imports alone. As a positive development for the market, the decline in crude and refinedproduct prices and the weaker oil price environment over our forecast period will see Hong Kong's net oilimport bill substantially reduced over the short and medium term. While Hong Kong can ostensibly fallback on China in order to fulfil its energy needs, there is some resistance to an overreliance on its parentstate from both private and public entities. Still, as Hong Kong becomes increasingly politically intertwinedwith Beijing, so too will its energy policy. The city-state is increasingly likely to turn to the mainland toachieve its goal of curbing its reliance on thermal energy over the coming years.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts

-The strong GDP growth, population growth and vehicle fleet growth will see refined fuels consumptionincrease strongly and steadily over our forecast period, despite improvements in transport energyefficiency.

-Hong Kong imports all of its refined fuels as it lacks a refining capacity. It is highly dependent onChinese refined fuels. Net imports are expected to rise strongly in line with growing domestic demandover the medium term. Nevertheless, the lower oil price environment will keep Hong Kong' refined fuelimport bill significantly lower than in the past years, despite the strong increase in overall fuel imports.

Table Of Contents

Hong Kong Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Hong Kong 2013-2019) 7
Latest Updates And Key Forecasts 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Upstream Production - Oil 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 9
Table: Oil Production (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 9
Upstream Production - Gas 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 10
Table: Gas Production (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 10
Refining 11
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 11
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 11
Refined Fuels Consumption 12
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 14
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 14
Gas Consumption 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 16
Table: Gas Consumption (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 17
Trade - Oil 17
Crude Oil Trade Forecast 17
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2013-2019) 17
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 18
Refined Fuels Trade Forecast 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 20
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 20
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) 21
Latest Updates 21
Structural Trends 21
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2013-2018) 23
Table: Gas Net Exports (Hong Kong 2019-2024) 23
Industry Risk Reward Index 24
Hong Kong - Risk/Reward Index 24
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Overview 24
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Rewards 24
Hong Kong Upstream Index - Risks 24
Hong Kong Downstream Index - Overview 25
Industry Risk Reward Index 25
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 29
Market Overview 32
Hong Kong Energy Market Overview 32
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 33
Service Stations 33
Oil Storage And Terminals 33
Gas Pipelines 33
Competitive Landscape 34
Competitive Landscape Summary 34
Table: Key Players - Hong Kong Oil and Gas Sector 35
Table: Key Downstream Players 35
Company Profile 36
Company Summaries 36
Regional Overview 41
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term OandG Production 41
Glossary 52
Table: Glossary Of Terms 52
Methodology 54
Industry Forecast Methodology 54
Source 56
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 56
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 58
Table: Weighting 59

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