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Japan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 76 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
While it will continue to remain a global refining powerhouse, aggressive cutbacks in refining capacity and a gradual shift away from oil-based fuels will weigh on Japan's refined fuels exports in the long run. Japan will remain the largest LNG buyer in the world through to 2025, though the risk of an LNG oversupply domestically is pertinent due to the rise of alternative energy sources such as nuclear, coal and renewables energy, which will erode gas' share in the total power mix and drag on overall demand.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts


- Despite boasting world-class capability, the Japanese refining sector is vulnerable to further consolidation and capacity cuts as the government seeks to reduce overcapacity and improve the sector's efficiency. Mergers of the country's largest refiners are imminent, with JX Holdings and TonenGeneral expected to merge by April 2017, while Idemitsu Kosan and Showa Shell are set to follow likewise between October 2016 and April 2017.

- Despite the government's unwavering support to gradually bring back nuclear energy, public opposition remains high. In July 2016, the Otsu district court rejected Kansai Electric's rejection of a March injunction which ordered the firm to shut down its Number 3 and 4 nuclear reactors at its Takahama plant.

Table Of Contents

Japan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Japan 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Japan 2014-2019) 12
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Japan 2020-2025) 13
Upstream Projects 14
Table: Japan - Key Upstream Projects 14
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Oil Production (Japan 2014-2019) 16
Table: Oil Production (Japan 2020-2025) 16
Upstream Production - Gas 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Gas Production (Japan 2014-2019) 19
Table: Gas Production (Japan 2020-2025) 19
Refining 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Japan 2014-2019) 22
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Japan 2020-2025) 22
Refined Fuels Consumption 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Japan 2014-2019) 25
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Japan 2020-2025) 26
Gas Consumption 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Gas Consumption (Japan 2014-2019) 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Japan 2020-2025) 29
Trade - Oil 30
Crude Oil Trade 30
Latest Updates 30
Structural Trends 30
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Japan 2014-2020) 31
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Japan 2020-2025) 32
Fuels Trade 32
Latest Updates 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Japan 2014-2019) 33
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Japan 2020-2025) 34
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 35
Latest Updates 35
Structural Trends 35
Table: Gas Net Exports (Japan 2014-2019) 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Japan 2020-2025) 42
Industry Risk/Reward Index 43
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 43
Table: Asia's Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 44
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 46
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 49
Japan - Risk/Reward Index 50
Upstream Index 50
Downstream Index 50
Market Overview 51
Japan Energy Market Overview 51
Regulatory Structure 51
Fiscal Regime 52
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 52
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 53
Oil Refineries 53
Table: Refineries In Japan 53
Service Stations 55
Oil Storage Facilities 55
LNG Terminals 55
Table: LNG Import Terminals In Japan 55
Oil Terminals/Ports 57
Gas Storage Facilities 57
Gas Pipelines 57
Competitive Landscape 59
Regional Overview 61
Asia - Oil Outlook Subdued On Persistent Price Weakness 61
Glossary 69
Table: Glossary Of Terms 69
Methodology 71
Industry Forecast Methodology 71
Source 73
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 73
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 75
Table: Weighting 76

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