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Japan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 87 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have revised our forecasts taking into account newly available sources of historical datafrom the Japanese Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. A government-led push for greaterconsolidation in the refining sector will see further cutbacks in Japan's refining capacity up to 2017, whilegrowing fuel efficiency gains in the transport sector will gradually curb its crude oil and refined fuelsconsumption over the next 10 years. LNG imports will remain elevated in the short to medium term, thoughthe return of nuclear generation will erode the share of gas-fired electricity generation in the power sectorin the long term.

Latest Updates and Key Forecasts:

? We have revised our forecasts taking into account newly available sources of historical data.

? Challenges in the domestic refining sector continue to push Japanese refiners to pursue investmentopportunities abroad. For example, refiners Idemitsu Kosan and Sumitomo Corporation are investingin oil and gas exploration campaigns offshore Vietnam; JX Nippon is also looking to invest in newrefinery projects in Vietnam and Indonesia.

? Kyushu Electric Power Company has restarted its Sendai nuclear station in Kagoshima on July 2015.This reiterates our belief that while LNG imports will remain elevated up to 2020, imports will declinethereafter as the gradual return of nuclear power generation erodes the share of gas-fired electricitygeneration in the country's power mix.

Table Of Contents

Japan Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Japan 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Japan 2013-2018) 11
Table: Proven Oil and Gas Reserves (Japan 2019-2024) 11
Latest Updates 12
Structural Trends 12
Upstream Production - Oil 13
Table: Oil Production (Japan 2013-2018) 13
Table: Oil Production (Japan 2019-2024) 13
Latest Updates 13
Structural Trends 13
Upstream Production - Gas 15
Table: Gas Production (Japan 2013-2018) 15
Table: Gas Production (Japan 2019-2024) 15
Latest Updates 15
Structural Trends 15
Risks To Outlook 16
Refining 17
Latest Updates 17
Structural Trends 17
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Japan 2013-2018) 19
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (2019 - 2024) 19
Refined Fuels Consumption 20
Latest Updates 20
Structural Trends 20
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Japan 2013-2018) 22
Table: Refined Products Consumption* (Japan 2019-2024) 22
Gas Consumption 23
Latest Updates 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Gas Consumption (Japan 2013-2018) 25
Table: Gas Consumption (Japan 2019-2024) 25
Trade - Oil 25
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 25
Latest Updates 25
Structural Trends 25
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Japan 2013-2018) 26
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Japan 2019-2024) 27
Fuels Trade Forecasts 27
Latest Updates 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Japan 2013-2018) 28
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Japan 2019-2024) 29
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 29
Latest Updates 29
Structural Trends 29
Table: Gas Net Exports (Japan 2013-2018) 32
Table: Gas Net Exports (Japan 2019-2024) 32
Industry Risk Reward Index 33
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 33
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index 34
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 36
Japan - Risk/Reward Index 38
Japan Upstream Index - Overview 38
Japan Upstream Index - Rewards 38
Japan Upstream Index - Risks 39
Japan Downstream Index - Overview 39
Market Overview 40
Japan Energy Market Overview 40
Overview/State Role 40
Regulatory Regime 40
Fiscal Regime 41
Table: Key Fiscal Indicators 41
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 43
Oil Refineries 43
Table: Refineries In Japan 43
Service Stations 45
Oil Storage Facilities 46
LNG Terminals 46
Table: Operational LNG Terminals In Japan 46
Table: Japanese LNG Terminals Under Construction 49
Table: Proposed Japanese LNG Terminals 49
Oil Terminals/ Ports 49
Gas Storage Facilities 49
Gas Pipelines 50
Competitive Landscape 51
Table: Key Players In Japan's Oil and Gas Sector 53
Company Profile 54
JX Holdings 54
Other Summaries 59
Regional Overview 70
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term OandG Production 70
Glossary 80
Table: Glossary Of Terms 80
Methodology 82
Industry Forecast Methodology 82
Source 84
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 84
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 86
Table: Weighting 87

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