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  5. > Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 108 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Above ground risks continue to weigh on the outlook for investment in the exploration andproduction necessary to reverse the current trend of declining reserves and production of both oil and gas.Despite untapped offshore potential, Thailand's dependence on imports is expected to grow as consumption,particularly of natural gas, accelerates and domestic output stagnates.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts:

- The 21st licensing round, which was initially pushed to February 2015, remains indefinitely delayed.Political and regulatory uncertainty will remain a key obstacle to investment in Thailand, which needsadditional investment in exploration and production in order to prove up a declining reserve base. Theround was supposed to offer 23 onshore and six offshore blocks to tap an estimated volume of 28.3bn to151.6bn cubic metres (bcm) of natural gas and 20-50mn barrels of crude oil.

- We estimate oil production in 2015 will increase to 452,000b/d and we forecast another small increase in2016 as the Nong Yao and Wassana fields raise output to 455,000b/d. However, we anticipate output willdecline from 2017 onwards. Notwithstanding the upside risk from development of some modestdiscoveries, above ground risks linked to the unsettled political situation, as well as the decline in globaloil prices, are likely to delay or deter more substantial investment that could have a more significantimpact on the current forecast trend.

Table Of Contents

Thailand Oil and Gas Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Thailand 2013-2019) 7
SWOT 8
Oil and Gas SWOT ... 8
Industry Forecast 9
Upstream Exploration 9
Structural Trends . 9
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Thailand 2013-2018) . 11
Table: Proven Oil And Gas Reserves (Thailand 2019-2024) . 12
Upstream Projects ... 13
Table: Thailand Major Upstream Projects . 13
Upstream Production - Oil 15
Latest Updates ... 15
Structural Trends ... 15
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2013-2018) 17
Table: Oil Production (Thailand 2019-2024) 18
Upstream Production - Gas ... 19
Latest Updates ... 19
Structural Trends ... 19
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2013-2018) . 21
Table: Gas Production (Thailand 2019-2024) . 22
Refining . 23
Latest Update 23
Structural Trends ... 23
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2013-2018) . 25
Table: Refining Capacity and Refined Products Production (Thailand 2019-2024) . 25
Refined Fuels Consumption ... 26
Latest Updates ... 26
Structural Trends ... 26
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2013-2018) . 28
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Thailand 2019-2024) . 28
Gas Consumption 29
Latest Updates ... 29
Structural Trends ... 29
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2013-2018) . 32
Table: Gas Consumption (Thailand 2019-2024) . 32
Trade - Oil . 33
Latest Updates ... 33
Crude Export Outlook . 33
Structural Trends ... 33
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2013-2018) 34
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Thailand 2019-2024) 35
Refined Fuels Trade Outlook 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2013-2018) 35
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Thailand 2019-2024) 35
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Thailand 2013-2018) 37
Table: Total Net Oil Exports - Crude and Products (Thailand 2019-2024) 38
Trade - Gas (Pipeline and LNG) . 39
Latest Updates ... 39
Structural Trends ... 39
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2013-2018) . 41
Table: Gas Net Exports (Thailand 2019-2024) . 41
Industry Risk Reward Index . 42
Table: Asia: Upstream Risk/Reward Index . 43
Table: Asia: Downstream Risk/Reward Index 45
Thailand - Risk/Reward Index 48
Market Overview ... 50
Thailand Energy Market Overview .. 50
Regulatory Structure ... 50
Fiscal Regime 51
Table: Thailand - Upstream Tax Regime . 51
Table: Thailand - Contracts and Licensing Regime 51
Exclusive Economic Zone 51
Licensing Rounds ... 52
Oil And Gas Infrastructure 53
Table: Oil Refineries In Thailand . 53
Oil Terminals/Ports ... 54
LNG Terminals .. 54
Table: Thailand - Existing and Planned LNG Terminals . 54
Gas Storage Terminal . 54
Table: Thailand - Gas Pipelines 55
Table: Thailand - Crude Oil Pipeline . 55
Competitive Landscape 56
Competitive Landscape Summary ... 56
Table: Key Players In Thailand's Oil and Gas Sector . 57
Company Profile 58
Chevron . 58
ExxonMobil (Thailand) . 62
Ophir Energy .. 65
PTT .. 69
PTT Exploration And Production (PTTEP) ... 77
Thai Shell Co .. 82
Other Summaries . 84
Regional Overview 90
Asia - Weak Oil Prices Will Hit Region's Long-Term OandG Production .. 90
Glossary ... 101
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 101
Methodology 103
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 103
Source ... 105
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 105
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 107
Table: Weighting 108

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