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Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 43 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Saudi Arabia will increasingly be dependent on grains imports, as the country has decided tophase out domestic grains production in a bid to preserve the country's water supply. The government hasnot abandoned its strategy of self-sufficiency in poultry and has been ramping up incentives to expandproduction capacity. This strategy has paid off, as the three major producers in the sector have all startedheavy investment initiatives. We believe Saudi Arabia will find sufficient grains supply from the Black Searegion and the EU to supply its meat and food processing industry in the coming years. However, thecountry will remain highly vulnerable to volatile grains and feed prices. Recent spikes in feed prices haveturned us more cautious on margins for dairy and livestock producers in the country, especially those thatimport inputs from abroad.

Key Forecasts

? Wheat production growth to 2018/19: -94.6% to 35,000 tonnes. Wheat production will be almostcompletely phased out in the coming years and Saudi Arabia will become entirely dependent on importsfor its grain needs.

? Barley consumption growth to 2019: -2.7% to 8.4mn tonnes. Barley consumption growth will decline,as the government tries to encourage the use of alternative feed sources for the booming livestock sector.Corn consumption will boom.

Table Of Contents

Saudi Arabia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Agribusiness 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Table: Saudi Arabia - Grains Production And Consumption Outlook 13
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Grains Outlook 13
Table: Grains Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 17
Livestock Outlook 18
Table: Saudi Arabia - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Livestock Outlook 19
Table: Livestock Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 21
Dairy Outlook 22
Table: Saudi Arabia - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 23
Table: Saudi Arabia - Risks To Dairy Outlook 23
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption (Saudi Arabia 2012-2019) 25
Commodities Price Analysis 27
Global Commodities Strategy 27
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And Bmi Forecasts 28
Downstream Analysis 30
Food 30
Food Consumption 30
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 31
Confectionery 32
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2012-2019) 33
Dairy 34
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (India 2014-2019) 35
Competitive Landscape 36
Table: Major Agribusiness Companies 36
Demographic Forecast 37
Demographic Outlook 37
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 38
Table: Key Population Ratios (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 38
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 39
Table: Population By Age Group % (Saudi Arabia 1990-2025) 40
Methodology 42
Industry Forecast Methodology 42
Sector-Specific Methodology 43

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