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  5. > Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

BMI View

: We have revised our Russian agribusiness outlook for our Q1 2016 report. We are nowestimating a modest rebound in the market after severe declines in the previous year due to traderestrictions. We are positive about the poultry and pork sectors of Russia, as consumer demand is growingand domestic production is looking to bridge the gap from imports. Grains consumption and production,along with rice, will both tick upwards, whereas dairy will continue to be in decline, largely as the numberof dairy cows in Russia continues decreasing. We hold the opinion that the Russian exports of grains to Asiaand its regional partners will be bolstered by a weakening rouble.

Latest Updates

- Poultry production will grow by 2.8% to reach 3.65mn tonnes in 2016, whereas poultry demand willdecline by 1.1% to 3.7mn tonnes.

- Pork production will rise by 5.7% in 2016, reaching 2.78mn tonnes, while pork consumption will growby 1.7% to reach 2.97mn tonnes.

- Corn production is set to grow by a strong 19.2% in 2015/16 to reach 13.5mn tonnes in 2015/16. Corndemand will post another year of rapid growth as consumption will reach 9.3mn tonnes, growing by10.7% annually.

- Wheat production will grow by 3.2% in 2015/16 to reach 61.0mn tonnes, whereas domestic demand willrise by 4.2% to reach 37.0mn tonnes.

Table Of Contents

Russia Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast 12
Rice Outlook 12
Table: Russia Rice Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks to Outlook 12
Table: Rice Production and Consumption (Russia 2011-2019) 13
Dairy Outlook 14
Table: Russia Liquid Milk Production and Consumption Outlook 14
Table: Russia Butter Production and Consumption Outlook 14
Table: Russia Cheese Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks to Outlook 15
Table: Dairy Production and Consumption 16
Livestock Outlook 17
Table: Russia Poultry Production and Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Russia Pork Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Russia Beef and Veal Production and Consumption Outlook 18
Table: Risks to Outlook 19
Table: Russia Livestock Production and Consumption 20
Grains Outlook 21
Table: Russia Corn Production and Consumption Outlook 21
Table: Russia Wheat Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Barley Production and Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks to Outlook 22
Table: Russia Grains Production and Consumption 23
Commodities Forecast 24
Global Commodities Strategy 24
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts 24
Upstream Analysis 26
Europe Machinery Outlook 26
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (Company-based estimates) 29
Europe GM Outlook 32
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 38
Downstream Analysis 44
Food 44
Food Consumption 44
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Russia 2012-2019) 45
Regional Overview 46
Competitive Landscape 52
Table: Main Agribusiness Companies 52
Demographic Forecast 53
Demographic Outlook 53
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Russia 1990-2025) 54
Table: Key Population Ratios (Russia 1990-2025) 54
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Russia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Population By Age Group (Russia 1990-2025) 55
Table: Population By Age Group % (Russia 1990-2025) 56
Methodology 58
Industry Forecast Methodology 58
Sector-Specific Methodology 59

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