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Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 52 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: The outlook remains extremely poor for Ukraine's infrastructure sector. 2015 will see furtherfalls in construction industry value which, barring a small increase in 2011, has been in decline since 2008.As well as ongoing security concerns related to the clashes with pro-Russia separatists in the East of thecountry and tensions with Russia over the annexation of the Crimea, the Ukraine's domestic economy is in amajor recession and there is little potential for public or private investment in new infrastructure projects.We therefore do not expect to see a return to infrastructure industry growth until 2018 at the earliest andnote Ukraine will not regain peak values seen in 2007 until well beyond the end of the current ten yearforecast period.

Latest Updates And Structural Trends

- Four electricity transmission towers in the Kherson region of Ukraine were blown up on November 20and 21, cutting off power supplies to much of the Crimea. As well as causing a further deterioration inregional political relations, this will also hit power infrastructure in the country and further deterinvestors.- The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is considering offering a seniorsecured corporate loan of up to USD37mn to MV Cargo for a private grain terminal at the Yuzhny portwhich is intended to be co-financed by the World Bank's private sector lending arm, InternationalFinance Corporation (IFC), via a parallel loan of up to USD37mn. The project is expected to costUSD130mn and MV Cargo will deliver the project in collaboration with US-based agricultural companyCargill and Ukrainian Sea Ports Authority.

Table Of Contents

Ukraine Infrastructure Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Ukraine 2014-2020) 7
Table: Ukraine Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Ukraine 10-Year Construction Industry Forecast 11
Structural Trends 11
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 15
Latest Updates 15
Table: Ukraine 10-Year Transport Infrastructure Industry Forecast 15
Structural Trends 15
Table: Transport Infrastructure - Key Projects 19
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook And Overview 20
Latest Updates 20
Table: Ukraine 10-Year Energy and Utilities Industry Forecast 20
Structural Trends 21
Table: Energy And Utilities Key Projects 26
Residential And Non-Residential Building - Outlook And Overview 27
Latest Updates 27
Table: Ukraine 10 Year Residential and Non-Residential Industry Forecast 27
Structural Trends 27
Table: Construction And Social Infrastructure Key Projects 30
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 31
Ukraine - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 31
CEE - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 32
Table: Election Timetable*, Q4 2015 - Q1 2016 34
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 38
Market Overview 39
Competitive Landscape 39
Table: EQS Industry Data 39
Company Profile 41
Aerobud 41
Altis-Holding Corporation 43
Methodology 45
Industry Forecast Methodology 45
Sector-Specific Methodology 46
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 50
Sector-Specific Methodology 51
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 51
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 52

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