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Poland Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 106 pages

BMI View: We forecast positive growth in Poland's food and drink industry, with food consumption growth remaining strong over our five year forecast to 2019. Investment from multinationals in the industry will be fuelled by positive growth in the country's macroeconomic conditions. Russia's ban on Polish agricultural products will encourage new trade partnerships, which will boost the sales lost from the Russian market. We expect premiumisation in alcoholic drinks to strengthen as consumer spending increases, with beer sales falling as a result of increased demand in wine and spirits. Furthermore, in the CEE region, Poland's favourable market-size will encourage investment in the MGR sector.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

-2015 total food consumption growth (local currency): +1.7%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) 2014-2019: +3.7%.

-2015 per capita food consumption growth (local currency): +1.7%; CAGR 2014-2019: +3.7%.

-2015 alcoholic drinks volume sales growth: -1.0%; CAGR 2014-2019: -0.5%.

-2015 soft drinks volume sales: +1.1%; CAGR 2014-2019: +0.4%.

-2015 total MGR sales growth (in local currency terms): +3.8%; CAGR 2014-2019: +4.9%.

Table Of Contents

Poland Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Food And Drink 8
Industry Forecast 11
Consumer Outlook 11
Food 13
Latest Updates 13
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 14
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2014-2019) 15
Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 16
Table: Oils And Fats Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 17
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 18
Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Poland 2012-2019) 19
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 21
Drink 22
Latest Updates 22
Structural Trends 22
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 23
Table: Soft Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2012-2019) 25
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 27
Mass Grocery Retail 28
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Poland 2014-2019) 29
Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Format Type (as % of total) 30
Macroeconomic Forecasts 31
Economic Analysis 31
How Will Law And Justice's Government Affect The Macro Outlook? 31
GDP By Expenditure Outlook 33
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019) 35
Industry Risk Reward Index 36
Central And Eastern Europe - Risk/Reward Index 36
Table: Central and Eastern Europe Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 37
Poland Risk/Reward Index 41
Market Overview 43
Food 43
Food Consumption 43
Food Production 43
Confectionery 44
Meat Processing 45
Dairy 46
Drink 47
Alcoholic Drinks 47
Beer 47
Wine 47
Spirits 48
Soft Drinks 49
Hot Drinks 49
Mass Grocery Retail 50
Leading Retailers 51
Competitive Landscape 52
Table: Key Players - Poland's Food Sector 52
Table: Key Players - Poland's Drinks Sector 53
Table: Key Players - Poland's MGR Sector 54
Company Profile 57
Nestle Polska 57
Agros Nova 59
Danone Polska 61
Makarony Polskie 63
Grupa Zywiec (Heineken) 65
Kofola-Hoop (Kofola Group) 67
Jerónimo Martins Polska (Biedronka) 69
Tesco Polska 71
Global Industry Overview 73
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 80
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 89
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast 90
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 93
Demographic Forecast 95
Demographic Outlook 95
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 96
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 96
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 97
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 98
Glossary 100
Food and Drink 100
Mass Grocery Retail 100
Methodology 102
Industry Forecast Methodology 102
Sector-Specific Methodology 103
Sources 103
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 104
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 105
Table: Weighting 106

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