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Poland Infrastructure Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 63 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
A cyclical downturn in structural EU funding will result in tepid construction sector growth in 2017, with residential construction emerging as the outperformer. Although we expect construction sector growth to accelerate as EU fund disbursement picks up over the tail end of the first half of our forecast period, we highlight heightened political tension surrounding the Polish government's relationship with the EU as the primary risk to our more optimistic long term outlook.

Forecast And Industry Developments


- We anticipate Poland's Law and Justice (PiS) government will breach the EU-mandated deficit ceiling of 3% in 2017, which may ultimately imperil the flow of EU development funding.

- We expect the residential sector to outperform in 2017 on the back of continued government support with a growth rate of 4.8% vs 2.3% for Poland's wider construction sector.

- The Polish government has secured funds, worth about EUR345mn (USD384.32mn) for the construction of the 15km Northern Ring Road in Krakow. Separately, Trasa Lagiewnicka, which is responsible for building a 3.7km section of Krakow's third ring road, is seeking 50% of the total EUR300mn in funding from the European Fund for Strategic Investments for the project.

Table Of Contents

Poland Infrastructure Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Infrastructure - Construction Industry Forecasts (Poland 2015-2025) 7
Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Index (Poland 2016) 8
SWOT 9
Infrastructure SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Poland - Construction: EU Funding Delay Dampens Growth Outlook - Q1 2017 11
Latest Updates 11
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025) 12
Structural Trends 12
Transport Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 16
Latest Updates 16
Table: Transport Infrastructure Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025) 16
Structural Trends 17
Table: Poland Key Transport Projects 23
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview 24
Latest Updates 24
Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data (Poland 2015-2025) 24
Structural Trends 24
Table: Key Energy and Utilities Projects 31
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview 32
Latest Updates 32
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Poland 2015-2025) 32
Structural Trends 32
Table: Residential/Non-Residential Projects By Value 35
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 36
Poland - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 36
Rewards 36
Risks 37
CEE: Gathering Political Risk Clouds Outlook 38
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index 45
Market Overview 46
Competitive Landscape 46
Table: Key Company Financial Data 46
Company Profile 49
Budimex 49
Table: Budimex Key Financial Statistics (EURmn) 52
Skanska Poland 53
Table: Skanska Key Financial Statistics (SEK M) 55
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 61
Sector-Specific Methodology 62
Table: Infrastructure Risk/Reward Index Indicators 62
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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