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Poland Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016

  • November 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 73 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

The Polish petrochemicals industry is witnessing strong growth amid solid economic fundamentals that aresupporting local manufacturing. The background of growth is encouraging local producers to step up theiracquisitions as they seek to diversify their production base and secure feedstock.In the first nine months of 2015, polyethylene output was up 12.7% y-o-y to 281,000 tonnes, polypropyleneincreased 12.3% to 187,800 tonnes and polyvinyl chloride rose 16.4% to 244,400 tonnes. The rate of outputgrowth came on the back of the robust recovery in domestic demand, although there are strong upside risksto these forecasts. In 2016, construction growth of 4.7% is likely to stimulate plastic piping and PVC sheetconsumption, while 1.1% growth in vehicle output following 15.1% growth in 2015 should provide a robustclimate for engineering plastics and synthetic rubbers.

Table Of Contents

Poland Petrochemicals Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 10
Operational Risk 11
Industry Forecast 13
Table: Polish Petrochemicals Sector Capacity, 2012-2019 ('000tpa, unless otherwise stated) 16
Macroeconomic Forecasts 18
Economic Analysis 18
Real GDP By Expenditure Breakdown 19
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Poland 2012-2019) 21
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 22
Russia and Ukraine Under Pressure 25
Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 26
Poland Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 27
Market Overview 28
Mergers And Acquisitions 30
Industry Trends And Developments 32
Capacity Expansions 33
PKN Orlen's Strategy, 2014-2017 34
Upstream 35
Company Profile 36
Polski Koncern Naftowy Orlen (PKN Orlen) 36
Anwil 40
Grupa Lotos 42
Table: Grupo Lotos' Financial Results, 2011-2014 (PLNmn) 45
Regional Overview 46
Energy Prices And Greek Crisis Will Determine Margins 46
Delays and Mothballing in the East 48
Global Industry Overview 54
Feedstock Differentials: Respite for Europe 54
2016 Feedstock Outlook 56
Could US Gas Run out? 57
Market Outlook: Chinese Downturn 58
Long-term Outlook 58
Europe - Brent On Board For A Bumpy Ride 62
Demographic Forecast 63
Demographic Outlook 63
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Poland 1990-2025) 64
Table: Key Population Ratios (Poland 1990-2025) 64
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Poland 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group (Poland 1990-2025) 65
Table: Population By Age Group % (Poland 1990-2025) 66
Glossary 68
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 68
Methodology 69
Industry Forecast Methodology 69
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 71
Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 72
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 73

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