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Czech Republic Retail Report Q1 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Retailing in the Czech Republic has experienced a robust recovery over 2015, with greaterspending allowing retail sales growth to accelerate. We attribute these improvements to healthier marketconditions and higher confidence among Czech households. Stronger economic growth will help lowerunemployment and raise household incomes. Despite this, the retail market is relatively matured and thiswill limit the expansion opportunities of many retailers while major players will be investigating mergerand acquisition opportunities.The Czech Republic's economy has managed to maintain the fastest growth in the region. With 2016'sprojected real GDP growth rate of 4.0%, it is set to lead the economic union of 28 countries.

This representsa marginal slowdown from 2015's 4.2% however also follows a contraction in 2012-2013 and a modest1.9% expansion in 2014 and is a sign of a strong and consistent recovery. Improving economic indicators,such as falling unemployment, are helping boost retail sales. Sales growth (excluding automobilepurchases), accelerated in September 2015, with an increase of 5.1% y-o-y. We expect sales figures tocontinue to climb as Czech households accumulate more savings and are increasingly able to make morenon-essential purchases bringing growth to clothing and household goods sub-sectors.

Table Of Contents

Czech Republic Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 14
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 15
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 16
Retail Sector Forecast 18
Food, Drink and Tobacco 19
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 19
Clothing and Footwear 20
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 22
Personal Care 22
Table: Personal Care Spending (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 23
Household Numbers and Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 28
Demographic Forecast 29
Table: Total Population (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Babies (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Young Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Young People (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Young Adults (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 33
Table: Population: Urban (Czech Republic 2012-2019) 34
Macroeconomic Forecasts 35
Economic Analysis 35
Table: Economic Activity (Czech Republic 2010-2019) 39
Industry Risk Reward Index 40
Czech Republic Risk/Reward Index 40
Rewards 40
Risks 41
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 42
Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Index, Q116 42
Market Overview 44
Competitive Landscape 47
Mass Grocery Retail 47
Home Improvement 48
Consumer Electronics 49
Clothing and Footwear 50
Online 51
Glossary 52
Methodology 59
Industry Forecast Methodology 59
Sources 62
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 62
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 63
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 65

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