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Slovenia Retail Report Q1 2016

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 42305 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We have a positive outlook on Slovenia's retail sector on the back of continued economicrecovery, which will have a positive effect on employment and household incomes, leading to higher levelsof disposable income for consumers, and higher spending on non-essential products and services. Howeverthe diminutive size of the population and growing internal competition will begin to saturate expansionopportunities and reduce the market for new entries.After performing weakly through 2011-2013, the Slovenian economy posted a full year of solid growth in2014. The country's real GDP expanded by 2.6% providing consumers and businesses with more optimismand certainty about future expansion.

Households lagged to translate their confidence into spending as theyraised their expenditure by 0.6% in euro terms last year. Despite that, the main retailers, such as Mercatorand Spar, managed to increase their revenues. Both can afford to be even more optimistic this year as amore robust recovery is taking place over 2015 with the growth of household spending doubling.Unemployment continues to decline and businesses are becoming increasingly more willing to raise wagesfor their workers. Both of these trends will translate into higher household incomes and higher consumerconfidence.

Table Of Contents

Slovenia Retail Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Retail SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Industry Forecast 13
Headline Retail Forecast 13
Table: Total Household Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 15
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % Of Total (Slovenia 2012-2019) 16
Table: Retail Sector Spending, % of GDP (Slovenia 2012-2019) 17
Table: Headline Retail Sector Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 17
Retail Sector Forecast 19
Food And Drink 20
Table: Food, Drink and Tobacco Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 20
Clothing And Footwear 21
Table: Clothing and Footwear Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 21
Household Goods 21
Table: Household Goods Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 22
Personal Care And Effects 23
Table: Personal Care Spending (Slovenia 2012-2019) 23
Household Numbers And Income Forecast 24
Table: Household Income Data (Slovenia 2012-2019) 25
Table: Labour Market Data (Slovenia 2012-2019) 27
Demographic Forecast 27
Table: Total Population (Slovenia 2012-2019) 29
Table: Population: Babies (Slovenia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Young Children (Slovenia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Children (Slovenia 2012-2019) 30
Table: Population: Young Teens and Older Children (Slovenia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Young People (Slovenia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: Older Teenagers (Slovenia 2012-2019) 31
Table: Population: 21yrs + (Slovenia 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Young Adults (Slovenia 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Middle Aged (Slovenia 2012-2019) 32
Table: Population: Urban (Slovenia 2012-2019) 33
Macroeconomic Forecasts 34
Economic Analysis 34
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Slovenia 2012-2019) 38
Industry Risk Reward Indices 39
Central And Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Index 39
Table: Central And Eastern Europe - Retail Risk/Reward Index 39
Slovenia - Risk/Reward Index 41
Rewards 41
Risks 42
Market Overview 43
Competitive Landscape 46
MGR 46
Fashion 47
Pharmaceuticals 47
Glossary 49
Methodology 57
Industry Forecast Methodology 57
Sources 60
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 60
Table: Retail Risk/Reward Index Indicators 61
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 63

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