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Mexico Food and Drink Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 121 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Mexico remains our favourite consumer market in Latin America, despite headwinds toconsumer spending in late 2015 and early 2016. Improving consumer confidence and favourabledemographic dynamics will fuel the development of the food and drink sector. The expansion of the uppermiddleclass will drive sales of branded and premium items, while there are also opportunities in groceryretail to penetrate suburban and rural areas. On the other hand, sugary drinks sales will continue to beaffected by the tax on unhealthy food and drinks products.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

- 2015 food consumption = +3.1%; compound annual growth rate (CAGR) forecast 2014 to 2019 = +4.1%

- 2015 alcoholic drink sales = +3.6%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +7.7%

- 2015 soft drink sales = +4.4%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +5.4%

- 2015 mass grocery retail sales = +5.6%; CAGR forecast 2014 to 2019 = +6.8%

Table Of Contents

Mexico Food and Drink Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 8
Food and Drink ... 8
Industry Forecast .. 10
Consumer Outlook ... 10
Food . 12
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019) . 13
Confectionery 13
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2012-2019) . 14
Prepared/Canned Food ... 15
Meat 15
Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019) . 15
Fish . 16
Oils And Fats 16
Pasta ... 16
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . 17
Dairy ... 17
Table: Dairy Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . 17
Baked Products . 18
Table: Sweet Biscuits Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 18
Table: Jams and Jellies Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecast (Mexico 2014-2019) 19
Drink 20
Table: Hot Drink Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . 21
Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) 22
Table: Soft Drinks Sales, Production and Trade (Mexico 2014-2019) . 25
Mass Grocery Retail 26
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data and Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2019) . 27
Macroeconomic Forecast 28
Economic Analysis ... 28
Industry Risk Reward Index . 34
Latin America - Risk/Reward Index . 34
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Q116 36
Table: Latin America Food and Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Index Q116 (scores out of 10) 39
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index .. 40
Market Overview ... 41
Food . 41
Food Processing 41
Confectionery 41
Prepared/Canned Food ... 42
Dairy ... 43
Meat 44
Seafood 44
Drink 45
Hot Drinks 45
Alcoholic Drinks 45
Soft Drinks And Bottled Water .. 46
Mass Grocery Retail 48
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Mexico 2006-2015) 49
Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (Mexico 2006-2015) 49
Competitive Landscape 50
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Food Sector 50
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Drink Sector 51
Table: Key Players In Mexico's Mass Grocery Retail Sector 51
Company Profile 54
Industrias Bachoco .. 54
Grupo Herdez . 57
Gruma ... 61
Grupo Bimbo .. 65
Grupo Modelo 70
Arca Continental . 74
FEMSA .. 78
Walmart De Mexico . 82
Soriana .. 85
Global Industry Overview .. 88
Table: Selected Markets - Selected Industry and Macroeconomic Indicators - Historical and Forecast 95
Table: Australia, Uk And Usa Estimated Herfindahl-Hirschman Index Scores - Food Retail Industry 104
Table: UAE Food Retail Sales By Format - Historical and Forecast . 105
Table: Food and Drink Core Views - Q315 Roundup 108
Demographic Forecast ... 110
Demographic Outlook 110
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025) . 111
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025) . 111
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025) 112
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025) . 112
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025) . 113
Glossary ... 115
Food and Drink .. 115
Mass Grocery Retail . 115
Methodology 117
Industry Forecast Methodology .. 117
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 118
Sources .. 118
Risk/Reward Index Methodology . 119
Table: Food and Drink Risk/Reward Index Indicators 120
Table: Weighting . 121

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