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Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 125 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Mexico's historic energy sector liberalisation is ushering in a transformation of the country's hydrocarbons sector. Whilst it will be a number of years before results are seen in the country's production and reserves data, over the long term the reforms will bolster upstream activity and reverse a decade-long decline in production. Pemex's upstream activity will remain limited over the next two years in the wake of the industry downturn.

Latest Updates And Key Forecasts


- Mexican national oil company (NOC) Petróleos Mexicanos (Pemex) will remain under financial and operational strain in 2017. Whilst the strengthening of crude benchmark prices in H116 helped stabilise the company's losses, the price of Mexican crude remains at historic lows, deeming the majority of its upstream operations unprofitable.

- Our forecast for continued price weakness will weigh on Mexico's oil & gas sector in 2017, limiting investment into existing projects by Pemex. We therefore maintain our downbeat expectation for total liquids production in 2017 at -4.5% y-o-y implying a further reduction of 160,000b/d for the year. This compares to a decline of 6.2% y-o-y in 2016 and extends Mexico's overall losses for a 13th consecutive year.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Oil and Gas Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Forecasts (Mexico 2014-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Oil and Gas SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Upstream Exploration 11
Latest Updates 11
Structural Trends 11
Upstream Projects 21
Table: Mexico - Major Upstream Projects 21
Upstream Production - Oil 23
Latest Updates 23
Table: Round One Development Timeline 28
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 36
Table: Oil Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 36
Upstream Production - Gas 36
Latest Updates 36
Structural Trends 36
Table: Cost Per Well 41
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 43
Table: Gas Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 44
Refining 44
Latest Updates 44
Structural Trends 44
Table: Mexican Refineries, Active And Proposed 45
Table: Pemex Downstream Spending Plan 47
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Mexico 2014-2019) 49
Table: Refining Capacity And Refined Products Production (Mexico 2020-2025) 50
Refined Fuels Consumption 50
Latest Updates 50
Structural Trends 50
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 52
Table: Refined Products Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 52
Gas Consumption 52
Latest Updates 52
Structural Trends 53
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2014-2019) 56
Table: Gas Consumption (Mexico 2020-2025) 56
Trade - Oil 56
Crude Oil Trade Forecasts 57
Latest Updates 57
Structural Trends 57
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2020) 61
Table: Crude Oil Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 62
Refined Fuels Forecasts 62
Latest Updates 62
Structural Trends 62
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 64
Table: Refined Fuels Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 64
Trade - Gas (Pipeline And LNG) 65
Latest Updates 65
Structural Trends 65
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2014-2019) 69
Table: Gas Net Exports (Mexico 2020-2025) 69
Industry Risk Reward Index 70
Latin America - Oil and Gas Risk/Reward Index 70
Table: Latin America - Composite Risk/Reward Index 70
Composite RRI: Weaker Prices Extend Traditional Rankings 71
Upstream RRI: Sector Nearing Significant Change 72
Table: Latin America - Upstream Risk/Reward Index 73
Downstream: NOC Dominance Will Extend Capacity Deficit 75
Table: Latin America Downstream Risk/Reward Index 77
Mexico - Risk/Reward Index 78
Upstream Index 78
Downstream Index 79
Market Overview 81
Energy Market Overview 81
Overview 81
Government Policy 81
Licensing And Regulation 85
Table: First Bidding Round: Southern Region 85
Table: Second Bidding Round - Northern Region 85
Table: Third Bid Round - Chicontepec 86
Table: Tender Schedule For Mexico's Licensing Round One 87
International Energy Relations 91
Table: Mexico's Export Crude Grades 94
Oil and Gas Infrastructure 95
Oil Refineries 95
Table: Downstream Projects 97
Service Stations 98
Oil Storage Facilities 98
Oil Terminals/Ports 99
Oil Pipelines 99
LNG Terminals 99
Table: LNG Import Terminals In Mexico 100
Gas Pipelines 101
Competitive Landscape 104
Competitive Landscape Summary 104
Table: Key Energy Players 105
Table: Upstream Players 106
Table: Downstream Players 106
Company Profile 107
Pemex 107
Table: Major Upstream Assets In Mexico 108
Table: Key Financial Data (USDmn) 108
Regional Overview 109
Latin America Overview 109
Table: Latin America Oil And Gas Production, Consumption, Refining Capacity And Trade 116
Glossary 118
Table: Glossary Of Terms 118
Methodology 120
Industry Forecast Methodology 120
Source 122
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 122
Table: Bmi's Oil and Gas Upstream Risk/Reward Index 124
Table: Weighting 125

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