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Mexico Real Estate Report 2016

  • January 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 60 pages

BMI View: In the medium term, Mexico's commercial real estate sector is expected to benefit from a strengthening economy. The growing service sector will drive demand in the office and retail markets, pushing rental rates up, while a robust manufacturing and logistics sector will support growth in warehousing real estate. The economy in Mexico is one of the most stable in Latin America, and is forecast to maintain steady growth over the medium term, with real GDP growth expected to average at 3.7% a year between 2016 and 2019. This growth will supported by the expansion of the manufacturing sector, with electronics and automotive remaining key sectors, particularly in Monterrey, and the growth of the services industry.

With all three sub-sectors that we cover (office, retail and industrial) expected to benefit from Mexican economic growth, we forecast rental rises across the commercial real estate market. Mexico City will benefit from higher occupier demand in the office and industrial markets, while Guadalajara and Monterrey should see higher absorption levels in the industrial market, given the industrial base of their local economies.

Table Of Contents

Mexico Real Estate Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 12
Operational Risk 13
Industry Forecast 15
Office Forecast 15
Table: Office Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 17
Table: Office Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 19
Retail Forecast 20
Table: Retail Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 23
Table: Retail Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 24
Industrial Forecast 25
Table: Industrial Rental Rates, 2010-2015 (per square metre per month) 28
Table: Industrial Yields, 2010-2019 (%) 29
Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview 31
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Mexico 2013-2018) 31
Table: Residential and Non-Residential Building Industry Data (Mexico 2019-2024) 31
Table: Key Projects: Construction And Social Infrastructure 37
Macroeconomic Forecast 39
Economic Analysis 39
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 45
Industry Risk/Reward Index 45
Table: Latin America Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 45
Rewards 45
Risks 46
Market Overview 47
Competitive Landscape 48
Property Developers 48
Property Managers 49
Demographic Forecast 51
Demographic Outlook 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Mexico 1990-2025) 52
Table: Key Population Ratios (Mexico 1990-2025) 52
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Mexico 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group (Mexico 1990-2025) 53
Table: Population By Age Group % (Mexico 1990-2025) 54
Methodology 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 59
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 60

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