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Bulgaria Defence and Security Report 2016

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 35 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Bulgarian defence spending will see modest growth in the years ahead, driven by persistent domestic security threats, regional tensions and Sofia's efforts to bring its military closer to NATO standards - but weakened by relatively slow real GDP expansion. While government support for local defence sector expansion appears to be strengthening, we do not expect a dramatic reduction in the country's defence import reliance over our forecast period to 2025.


Latest Updates

- Given indications by the government that development of the armed forces' capabilities will be a priority over 2017, we expect further, albeit modest, expansion in defence spending over the coming year, reaching USD643.5bn, and amounting to about 1.3% of the country's overall GDP.

- The Interdepartmental Commission on Export Control and Non-Proliferation reported a substantial annual increase in defence exports for 2015 - to USD711mn, from USD448 in 2014.

- In July 2016, the parliament approved a new anti-terrorism law, amid rising concerns over terrorist risks in the wider region.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Bulgaria 2016-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Defence Industry SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 10
Defence Expenditure 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (Bulgaria 2014-2019) 10
Table: Defence Expenditure (2020-2025) 11
Defence Trade 12
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Table: Europe Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Rewards 16
Risks 16
Market Overview 18
Defence Market Overview 18
Domestic Defence Sector 18
Domestic Defence Market 19
Armed Forces Overview 19
Armed Forces 19
Table: Armed Forcers Personnel (Bulgaria 2008-2015) 20
Table: Bulgarian Armed Forces - Overseas Deployments 20
Security Overview 22
Domestic Threats 22
External Threats 24
Company Profile 25
Arcus 25
Arsenal 26
NITI-SHC 28
Samel-90 29
Vazovski Mashinostroitelni Zavodi (VMZ) AD 30
Methodology 31
Industry Forecast Methodology 31
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 32
Sector-Specific Methodology 34
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 34
Weighting 35
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 35

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