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Bulgaria Defence and Security Report 2015

  • October 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 69 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: We expect Bulgaria's defence budget to continue decreasing in absolute terms for the next twoyears, as the economy continues to struggle to recover from the global financial crisis. Although spendingwill increase again starting in 2017, the share of defence spending as part of the GDP will continue todecrease and government efforts to develop the domestic industry will take a long time to bear some fruits.As such, the number of opportunities for national and international companies seeking to enter theBulgarian defence market will remain limited in the next five years.In 2009, the Bulgarian Defence White Paper recognised the failure of the government to respond to thepriorities set up by the first White Paper published in 2002, and elaborated a strategy to improve both thestate of the domestic defence sector and the efficiency of the armed forces.

More specifically, the WhitePaper acknowledged that whilst the domestic defence sector could provide for the armed forces needs intechnologies and ammunitions, it was significantly lagging behind in its ability to provide the capabilitiesnecessary for the modernisation of the armed forces. The armed forces, it argued, had for too long provedtoo expensive to the government, showing however little efficiency and effectiveness.

Table Of Contents

Bulgaria Defence and Security Report 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Bulgaria SWOT 9
Political 10
Economic 11
Operational Risk 12
Industry Forecast 14
Defence Expenditure 14
Table: Defence Expenditure (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 16
Armed Forces 16
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Bulgaria 2005-2012) 17
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Bulgaria 2012-2019) 18
Defence Trade 18
Exports 19
Imports 19
Macroeconomic Forecasts 20
Economic Analysis 20
Table: Real GDP Growth % 23
Table: GDP Contribution To Growth (Bulgaria 2012-2020) 26
Industry Risk Reward Index 27
Bulgaria Defence Risk Index 27
Table: Europe Defence Risk Index 27
Rewards 28
Risks 29
Market Overview 30
Defence Market Overview 30
Table: Bulgaria International Deployments 31
Domestic Defence Sector 31
Domestic market 32
Defence Agreements 33
Table: Bulgaria Defence Agreements 33
Security Overview 43
Domestic Threats 43
Regional Threats 45
International Threats 45
Weapons Of Mass Destruction 45
Company Profile 46
Arcus 46
Arsenal 47
NITI-SHC 49
Samel-90 50
Vazovski Mashinostroitelni Zavodi (VMZ) AD 51
Regional Overview 52
Europe Security Overview - Q4 2015 52
Global Industry Overview 62
Political Risk Analysis 62
Methodology 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 67
Sector-Specific Methodology 68
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 68
Weighting 69
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 69

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