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China Autos Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 50 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:
Passenger vehicle sales will slow in 2017 as the tax break implemented on vehicles with an engine capacity of 1.6 litres or less comes to an end in 2016. The growing E-commerce industry will provide some support to commercial vehicle sales; however, the slowing infrastructure growth will keep commercial vehicle sales well below previous peak levels over our forecast period to 2020.

Key Views


- The commitment by government to rebalance the economy towards consumption-led growth will support passenger vehicle sales over our forecast period to 2020.

- Domestic production will closely track domestic demand due to companies investing to produce for the Chinese market.

- We have revised down our vehicle sales forecast for 2017 as the tax break implemented in October 2015 comes to an end in 2016.

- The removal of the 50% ownership cap in the motorcycle market will support motorcycle production.

Table Of Contents

China Autos Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Industry Forecast 9
Industry Forecast Scenario 9
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 9
Latest Developments 9
Structural Trends 9
Passenger Vehicles 12
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 12
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 12
Structural Trends 12
Commercial Vehicles 14
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 14
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 15
Structural Trends 15
Motorcycles 16
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (China 2014-2020) 16
Latest Developments And Segment Drivers 16
Structural Trends 16
Industry Trend Analysis 16
Industry Risk/Reward Index 22
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 22
Developed States Have Technology Niche 22
ASEAN Policy Reaping Rewards 23
Sri Lanka A Short-Term Mover? 23
Company Profile 24
Daimler 24
Ford Motor 25
Shanghai GM 26
Volkswagen 27
Regional Overview 28
Asia Overview 28
Table: Asia Autos Production Investments 28
EV And SUV Investments Leading The Way In China 29
Thailand A Crucial Regional Production Hub For Automakers 29
13th Five-Year Plan 31
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 31
Summary Of Contents 31
Chapter 1: Overview 32
Table: Targets 32
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development 33
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions 34
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector 35
Chapter 5: Industries 36
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy 37
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network 37
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation 38
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development 39
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection 40
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up 40
Others 40
Demographic Forecast 42
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025) 43
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025) 43
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025) 44
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025) 45
Methodology 47
Industry Forecasts 47
Sector-Specific Methodology 48
Sources 48
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 49
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 50

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