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Croatia Defence and Security Report 2016

  • March 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 40 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View: Croatia's continued downsizing of its already small armed forces, the lack of an immediatethreat to its security environment and a still-weak - albeit improving - economic outlook, will limit thecountry's defence expenditure going forward. As such, the domestic sector - which only has strongcapabilities in land armaments and personnel equipment segments - will have to continue looking to foreignmarkets for opportunities. The limited procurement that the defence ministry is likely to undertake willprimarily be met by foreign suppliers with more technologically advanced capabilities. That said, we notethat owing to budget limitations, many of these purchases will remain with second-hand or overstockpurchases. A return to economic growth does brighten the outlook for defence spending somewhat. In 2016,the decade-long decline in defence spending will be halted. We expect Croatia's defence expenditure tocome in at HRK4.42bn (USD608mn) in 2016.

- In the Ministry of Defence (MoD)'s 2015-2024 Long Term Development Plan, it states that Croatiandefence expenditure will be maintained at 2014 levels of 1.3% of GDP for at least the next three years.

- In the same document, the MoD outlines plans to continue streamlining of its armed forces, reducingpersonnel numbers to 15,000 by the end of 2017.

- The Croatian armed forces' Patria armoured personnel carriers (APCs) are undergoing upgrade andmaintenance. The units will enter services by end-2016, equipped with modern anti-armour systems,remote weapon stations of 30mm calibre and communication systems.

- The defence ministry confirmed in November 2015, that the country's army and air force will soon bedonated 16 used OH-58D Kiowa helicopters by the US. The aircraft come from the US' surplusinventory.

Table Of Contents

Croatia Defence and Security Report 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Headline Defence Expenditure Forecasts (Croatia 2015-2020) 7
SWOT 9
Industry Forecast 11
Defence Expenditure 11
Table: Defence Expenditure (Croatia 2014-2019) 12
Table: Defence Expenditure (Croatia 2020-2025) 12
Defence Trade 13
Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Defence Industry Risk/Reward Index 15
Table: Europe - Defence Industry Risk Reward Index 15
Rewards 16
Risks 17
Market Overview 18
Defence Market Overview 18
Domestic Defence Sector 18
Domestic Defence Market 20
Armed Forces Overview 22
Armed Forces 22
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Croatia 2006-2013) 23
Security Overview 25
Domestic Threats 25
Regional Threats 26
International Threats 29
Company Profile 30
DOK-ING 30
Duro Dakovic 32
HS Produkt 34
RIZ-Transmitters 36
Å estan-Busch 37
Methodology 38
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 38
Sector-Specific Methodology 39
Table: Defence Risk/Reward Index Indicators 39
Weighting 40
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index 40

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