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  4. > Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 79 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI’s commercial banking forecast series covers 62 countries accounting for 80% of global GDP. Each report, researched at source, features BMI’s independent assessment and 5-year forecasts to end-2017 for the commercial banking sector in each market. Using its expertise in both country risk and financial markets analysis, BMI has created exclusive models to forecast a wealth of key variables on the commercial banking sector. Historic and forecast data are provided for the sector’s total asset and liability growth, client loans, and client deposits. Forecasts for key ratios including the loan-deposit ratio and the loan-asset ratio are also included, as well as core macro-economic forecasts. Data is presented in both local currency and US dollar terms.

Each report examines key drivers of growth and future prospects, including the macroeconomic situation, the level of development and potential for growth of the banking sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, government policy and the regulatory environment.

Central to BMI’s analysis are our unique Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings. BMI’s unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rating provides a clear, quantified, independent assessment of the opportunities and dangers of operating in each market. The methodology draws together our in-depth knowledge of competitive pressures, our comprehensive industry market forecasts, and our Country Risk team’s unrivalled analysis of economic, political and operational risks.

The reports also feature profiles of leading banks, covering total assets, liabilities, client deposits, lending, bond holdings, main products and services, competitive positioning and ownership structure.

Table Of Contents

Egypt Commercial Banking Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators . 7
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Key Ratios, August 2015 7
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2014-2019 (%) 7
Table: Ranking Out Of 75 Countries Reviewed In 2015 . 8
Table: Commercial Banking Sector Indicators, 2012-2019 . . 8
SWOT 9
Commercial Banking . 9
Political . 11
Economic .. 12
Operational Risk . 14
Industry Forecast .. 16
Economic Analysis .. 16
Currency Is The Key Risk 18
NPLs To Decline Slowly .. 19
Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index .. 20
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . 20
Table: Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index . . 21
Market Overview 22
Middle East and Africa Commercial Banking Outlook 22
Table: Banks' Bond Portfolios, 2013 . 22
Table: Comparison Of Loan/Deposit, Loan/Asset And Loan/GDP Ratios, 2015 . 23
Table: Comparison Of Total Assets, Client Loans And Client Deposits (USDbn) 24
Table: Comparison Of USD Per Capita Deposits, 2015 . . 25
Macroeconomic Forecasts . 26
Table: Egypt - Components Of GDP (% Of Total) . . 29
GDP By Expenditure 29
Table: Egypt - Private Consumption Forecasts . . 29
Table: Egypt - Government Consumption Forecasts 31
Table: Egypt - Fixed Investment Forecasts . 31
Table: Egypt - Net Exports Forecasts 32
Competitive Landscape . 34
Market Structure . 34
Protagonists 34
Table: Protagonists In Egypt's Commercial Banking Sector . 34
Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe .. 34
List Of Banks .. 35
Table: Public Sector Banks . . 35
Table: Private And Joint Venture Banks 35
Table: Branches Of Foreign Banks 36
Company Profile . 37
Bank of Alexandria . 37
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) . 39
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 40
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 40
Banque du Caire . 41
Banque Misr . 43
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) . 45
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 45
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 46
Egyptian Arab Land Bank . 47
National Bank of Egypt .. 49
Table: Stock Market Indicators . 51
Table: Balance Sheet (EGPmn) . 51
Table: Balance Sheet (USDmn) . 52
Table: Key Ratios (%) . 52
Regional Overview 53
MENA Regional Overview . 53
Some Growth Opportunities 57
Islamic Banking .. 58
UAE: Established Market Set For Further Growth 61
Recent Developments 62
Global Industry Overview .. 64
Global Commercial Banking Outlook . 64
Regional Outlooks . 64
Demographic Forecast .. 70
Demographic Outlook 70
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 71
Table: Key Population Ratios (Egypt 1990-2025) 71
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Egypt 1990-2025) . 72
Table: Population By Age Group (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 72
Table: Population By Age Group % (Egypt 1990-2025) . . 73
Methodology . 75
Industry Forecast Methodology . 75
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 76
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 77
Table: Commercial Banking Risk/Reward Index Indicators . 78
Table: Weighting Of Indicators . 79

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