Pakistan Autos Report Q1 2015

  • November 2014
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 59 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

We believe that policies drawn up in the new federal budget will support the domestic auto industry, by creating conditions for stronger sales. The new budget, coupled with our upbeat forecast for private consumption and gross fixed-capital formation in the country, bodes well for both passenger cars and commercial vehicles (CVs). While we have maintained our forecast for passenger vehicles, we have revised our CV sales growth forecast to 9.4% in FY2014/15 (July-June) from 4.5% previously, bringing our overall auto sales growth forecast to 4.8%, up from 4.0% previously.
According to the Pakistan Automotive Manufacturers Association (PAMA), domestic auto sales (includes passenger cars, trucks, buses, light commercial vehicles, vans, and jeeps) for September rose 11.3% yearon- year (y-o-y). In line with what we have highlighted previously, the removal of the 10.0% Federal Excise Duties (FED) on domestically produced motor vehicles above 1,800cc has benefitted the passenger car segment. Our positive outlook for the country's economy will continue to support passenger car sales.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Autos Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 8
Political 9
Economic 11
Industry Forecast 12
Production And Sales 12
Table: Autos Total Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2018) 12
Sales 12
Production 14
Passenger Vehicles 16
Table: Passenger Car Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2018) 16
Table: Passenger Car Historical Production And Sales By Model, FY07/08-FY12/13 (CBUs) 16
Commercial Vehicles 18
Table: Commercial Vehicle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2018) 18
Table: Commercial Vehicle Historical Sales By Manufacturer, 2008/09-2012/13 (CBUs) 19
Motorcycles 20
Table: Motorcycle Market - Historical Data And Forecasts (Pakistan 2012-2018) 20
Table: Motorcycle Historical Production And Sales By Manufacturer, 2008-2013 (CBUs) 21
Suppliers 24
Macroeconomic Forecast 28
Economic Activity 28
Table: Economic Activity (Pakistan 2009-2018) 31
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 32
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 32
Table: BMI Industry Risk/Reward Ratings - Asia-Pacific Autos 35
Company Profile 36
Company News Alert 36
Table: Enter tabl Automakers' Investment By Geography (Jan 2013 - Sep 2014) 38
Indus Motor 40
Honda Atlas 42
Pak Suzuki Motor 44
Regional Overview 46
Global Industry Overview 49
Table: The Internet Of Cars 49
Demographic Forecast 51
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 53
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 53
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 54
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 55
Methodology 56
Industry Forecasts 56
Sector-Specific Methodology 57
Sources 57
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 58
Table: Automotive Risk/Reward Index Indicators And Weighting Of Indicators 59

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