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Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2015

  • January 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

BMI View:

Pakistan's commercial real estate sector is underdeveloped, with long-term security problems and unstable politics having served to deter investment into the sector. Although we see this situation continuing, at least in the short term, in the long term there are significant opportunities as prices are low, meaning potential yields are high, and there is considerable room to expand and modernise Pakistan's stock of commercial real estate.
Improved regulations surrounding the creation of real estate investment trusts (REITs) could pave the way for increased investment via this format, and lead to more Pakistani investment being directed into the home market rather than overseas.
We forecast Pakistan's real GDP growth rate will be around 4.1% a year over our forecast period to 2018. The economy is held back by concerns over the security situation and political tensions. However, we believe that the government remains committed to policies designed to improve the business environment and increase investment into Pakistan, which should in the long term benefit the commercial real estate industry.

Table Of Contents

Pakistan Real Estate Report Q1 2015
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Political 11
Economic 13
Industry Forecast 14
Office 15
Table: Forecast Office Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 15
Table: Forecast Office Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%) 16
Retail 17
Table: Forecast Retail Rent Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 17
Table: Forecast Retail Net Yields, 2011-2018 (%) 18
Industrial 19
Table: Forecast Industrial Rental Rates, 2015-2016 (USD per sq m per month) 20
Table: Forecast Industrial Net Yields, 2011-2018 21
Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario 23
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2013-2018) 23
Table: Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data (Pakistan 2019-2024) 24
Macroeconomic Forecast 33
Economic Activity 33
Table: Economic Activity (Pakistan 2009-2018) 36
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 37
Asia - Risk/Reward Index 37
Table: Asia - Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 37
Pakistan Real Estate Risk/Reward Index 38
Rewards 38
Risks 39
Market Overview 40
Islamabad 42
Lahore 43
Karachi 43
Office 44
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 45
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per square metre per month) 45
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 46
Retail 46
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 49
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month) 49
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 50
Industrial 50
Table: Historical Net Yields, 2013-2014 (%) 52
Table: Historical Rental Costs, 2013-2014 (USD per sq m per month) 53
Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases, H114 53
Competitive Landscape 54
Real Estate Companies 55
Company Profile 58
Bestway Cement 58
Demographic Forecast 61
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Pakistan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Key Population Ratios (Pakistan 1990-2025) 62
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Pakistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group (Pakistan 1990-2025) 63
Table: Population By Age Group % (Pakistan 1990-2025) 64
Methodology 66
Industry Forecast Methodology 66
Sources 67
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 68
Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Index Indicators 69
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 70

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