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Russia Defence and Security Report 2015

  • May 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 70 pages

BMI View:
Russia is engaged in a major military modernisation initiative. The country is investing heavily in its armed forces after several years of stagnation in the defence sector following the end of the Cold War. At the same time, the country is facing a number of security threats in the domestic, regional and international domains; a second factor which is also spurring the upsurge in defence spending. In addition, the country's defence manufacturers are enjoying increased demand for their products as a result of increases in defence spending in the Asia-Pacific and Latin American regions, plus a resurgence in arms purchases from Russia's traditional markets in the developing world, notably Africa.

Russia's armed forces have arguably languished since the end of the Cold War. The relaxation of tensions between east and west saw Russia exploiting the peace dividend and reducing investment in its armed forces. However, this had the effect of accelerating obsolescence as regards the quality and quantity of materiel available to the Russian armed forces. Military interventions in Chechnya and the Caucuses, and more recently in Georgia and Ukraine have underscored the need for the wholesale modernisation of the Russian armed forces. As a consequence of this, the Russian government has exploited increases in the global oil price, to plough hydrocarbon remittances back into its military modernisation initiatives.

Table Of Contents

Russia Defence and Security Report 2015
BMI Industry View ... 7
SWOT 9
Political . 10
Economic ... 11
Operational Risk . 12
Industry Forecast .. 14
Defence Expenditure ... 14
Table: Defence Expenditure (Russia 2012-2019)......................... . . 16
Armed Forces 17
Table: Armed Forces Personnel (Russia 2005-2012)........................ . . 19
Table: Manpower Available For Military Service (Russia 2012-2019).................... 19
Exports 20
Table: Defence Exports (Russia 2012-2019)..........................21
Imports 22
Macroeconomic Forecasts ... 25
Economic Analysis ... 25
Table: GDP By Expenditure (Russia 2012-2019)......................... . . 29
Industry Risk Reward Ratings .. 30
Russia Defence Risk Reward Index .. 30
Table: Europe Security Risk Index............................. . . 30
Market Overview ... 33
Russia Defence Market Overview ... 33
Domestic Defence Sector . 35
Domestic Market 36
Russia Security Overview .. 41
Domestic Threats ... 41
Regional Threats 42
International Threats .. 42
Weapons of Mass Destruction ... 43
Company Profile 46
Irkut .. 46
Rosoboronexport State Corporation 47
Russian Aircraft Corporation MiG .. 48
Sukhoi Aviation Corporation . 49
United Aircraft Corporation .. 51
Uralvagonzavod .. 52
Kazan Helicopters ... 53
Regional Overview 54
Key Drivers for Spending . 55
Key Trends Over 2015 and Beyond 57
Key Opportunities .. 59
Global Industry Overview .. 62
Global Political Themes For 2015 .. 62
Methodology .. 68
Sector-Specific Methodology 69
Table: Defence Risk Reward Index Indicators.......................... . . 69
Weighting . 70
Table: Weighting of Defence Risk Reward Index.........................70

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