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  3. > Cameroon Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

Cameroon Agribusiness Report Q1 2016

  • December 2015
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates

BMI View:

Cocoa remains Cameroon's most important cash crop. With higher prices encouraging farmers to invest in inputs, we are forecasting production to reach 225,000 tonnes in 2014/15 and consumption to close the year at 13,900 tonnes. Over the remainder of our forecast period to 2018/19 we believe improved production techniques will give cocoa farmers new opportunities to sell greater quantities of beans on international markets. More broadly, we see growth in the production and consumption of all key soft commodities in Cameroon, with the exception of the coffee market. With lower prices worldwide on the back of increasing global supply surpluses, we believe coffee growers will be pushed towards more reliably profitable food crops.


Latest Updates

- Corn production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 21.3% to 2.0mn tonnes. Corn is Cameroon's most significant grain crop and a major staple in the country. Although dry weather may have hampered recent harvests, we continue to predict strong production growth over our five-year forecast period, on the back of increased investment, relatively high prices and strong domestic demand.
- Cocoa consumption growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 203.0% to 33,800 tonnes. We expect household demand for cocoa to increase dramatically yet consistently over our forecast period, fuelled by rising disposable incomes and greater exposure to value-added processed products.
- 2015 real GDP growth: 5.4% (revised up from 3.8% in our last quarterly update).

Table Of Contents

Cameroon Agribusiness Report Q1 2016
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 9
Agribusiness 9
Industry Forecast .. 11
Cocoa Outlook . 11
Table: Cameroon - Cocoa Production and Consumption Outlook 11
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 12
Table: Cocoa Production and Consumption (Cameroon 2011-2019) 14
Coffee Outlook . 15
Table: Cameroon - Coffee Production and Consumption Outlook 15
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 16
Table: Coffee Production and Consumption (Cameroon 2011-2019) 18
Sugar Outlook .. 19
Table: Cameroon - Sugar and Production Outlook 19
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 20
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Cameroon 2011-2019) 22
Grains Outlook 23
Table: Cameroon - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook . . 23
Table: Risks To Outlook . . 24
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Cameroon 2011-2019) . 25
Commodity Strategy 26
Global Commodities Strategy 26
Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts . 26
Upstream Analysis 28
Africa GM Outlook . 28
Table: Farm Size By Region . 32
Africa Machinery Outlook . 34
Table: How Africa Compares With Other Regions . . 34
Table: Farm Size By Region (2012) . . 39
Africa Fertiliser Outlook 40
Downstream Analysis . 47
Food .. 47
Latest Forecasts . 47
Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cameroon 2012-2019) . . 48
Structural Trends .. 48
Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cameroon 2012-2019) . 49
Table: Yoghurt Production, Sales and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cameroon 2012-2019) . . 51
Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production and Trade - Historical Data and Forecasts (Cameroon 2014-2019) . . 51
Regional Overview 52
Middle East and Africa Regional Overview .. 52
Demographic Forecast .. 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Cameroon 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Cameroon 1990-2025) . 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Cameroon 1990-2025) . . 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Cameroon 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Cameroon 1990-2025) 62
Methodology . 64
Industry Forecast Methodology . 64
Sector-Specific Methodology .. 65

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