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Greece Agribusiness Report Q1 2017

  • November 2016
  • -
  • Business Monitor International
  • -
  • 65 pages

Includes 3 FREE quarterly updates


BMI View:

Cheese production will see buoyant growth in the coming years due to strong export opportunities, while sugar will remain on a declining trend as competition is set to increase in the EU. Poultry consumption will still outperform the livestock sector due to its lower cost, providing a modest push to corn production towards the end of our forecast period to 2020. As the Greek economy finds relative stability going forward, our forecasts remain largely unchanged from our last quarterly update, save from a downgrade in wheat production in reaction to our revised price forecast for the grain.


Key Forecasts


- Poultry consumption from 2016 to 2020: up 17.6% to 208,200 tonnes. The cheaper price of poultry meat means it will still gain ground against beef and pork. However, we do not expect poultry to overtake either beef or pork in consumption by the end of our forecast period. In 2017, we expect poultry consumption to exceed production for the first time.

- Cheese production from 2016 to 2020: up 18.2% to 233,530 tonnes. Solid export opportunities will lead the way in keeping the dairy segment supported.

- Wheat production from 2016 to 2020: up 1.2% to 1,605,000 tonnes. After years of limited incentives, production levels are set to recover, however, our downward revision of our forecasts for wheat production will constrain the upward momentum in wheat output over our forecast period.

- 2016 real GDP growth: -0.6% (revised downwards from 0.2% growth in our last quarterly update).

- 2016 consumer price inflation: 0.5% (up from an estimated deflation of 1.1% in 2015).

- BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD13.3bn in 2016, up by 1.6% on 2015 level of USD13.1bn.

Table Of Contents

Greece Agribusiness Report Q1 2017
BMI Industry View 7
SWOT 10
Industry Forecast 12
Grains Outlook 12
Latest Updates 12
Table: Greece - Grains Production and Consumption Outlook 12
Table: Risks To Outlook 13
Structural Trends 13
Table: Wheat Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 15
Table: Corn Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 16
Table: Barley Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 16
Dairy Outlook 17
Latest Updates 17
Table: Greece - Dairy Production And Consumption Outlook 17
Table: Risks To Outlook 18
Structural Trends 18
Table: Milk Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 20
Table: Cheese Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 20
Table: Butter Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 21
Livestock Outlook 22
Latest Updates 22
Table: Greece - Livestock Production And Consumption Outlook 22
Table: Risks To Outlook 23
Structural Trends 23
Table: Poultry Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 25
Table: Pork Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 25
Table: Beef Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 25
Sugar Outlook 26
Latest Updates 26
Table: Greece - Sugar Production And Consumption Outlook 26
Table: Risks To Outlook 26
Structural Trends 27
Table: Sugar Production and Consumption (Greece 2012-2020) 29
Commodities Price Analysis 30
Global - Global Commodities Strategy 30
Table: Select Commodities - Performance and BMI Forecasts 30
Upstream Analysis 32
Europe Machinery Outlook 32
Table: Select Companies - Sales Forecasts By Region (company-based estimates) 35
Europe GM Outlook 37
Europe Fertiliser Outlook 43
Downstream Analysis 49
Food 49
Latest Updates 49
Structural Trends 50
Table: Greece - Food Sales, 2013-2020 51
Regional Overview 53
Europe Regional Overview 53
Demographic Data 59
Demographic Forecast 59
Table: Population Headline Indicators (Greece 1990-2025) 60
Table: Key Population Ratios (Greece 1990-2025) 60
Table: Urban/Rural Population and Life Expectancy (Greece 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group (Greece 1990-2025) 61
Table: Population By Age Group % (Greece 1990-2025) 62
Methodology 64
Industry Forecast Methodology 64
Sector-Specific Methodology 65

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